# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-02-06 · 26 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26FEB06 · as_of 2026-10-24T07:47:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-06 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26FEB06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The President makes an Announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	117	80	0.68	nnYnnYYYnY	1	1	0.64	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	76	52	0.68	YYnYYYYYnY	1	1	0.63	hist	no
Biden	biden	170	122	0.72	nYnYnnYnnY	1	1	0.61	hist	no
Medicare / Medicaid	medicaid|medicare	4	4	1	YYYY	1	0	0.57	hist	yes
Invested / Investment	invested|investment	20	12	0.6	nYYYYYnYnY	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Insurance	insurance	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Iran	iran	42	27	0.64	YnnYYYYnnn	1	1	0.54	hist	no
TrumpRX / TrumpRX.gov	trumprx|trumprxgov	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.52	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	136	74	0.54	nYnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.52	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	93	40	0.43	YnnnnnYYnY	1	1	0.49	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	20	11	0.55	nnnnYYYYnn	1	1	0.48	hist	yes
Favored Nation	favored nation	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.46	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	22	10	0.45	nnYYYYYnnn	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Vaccine	vaccine	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
MAHA / Make America Healthy Again	maha|make america healthy again	4	1	0.25	nnYn	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Prescription	prescription	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
UK / United Kingdom	uk|united kingdom	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Autism	autism	9	4	0.44	YYnnnnYnY	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	11	4	0.36	YnnYnnnnYn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
GLP-1 / Ozempic	glp 1|ozempic	0	0			1	0	0.38	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	62	21	0.34	nnnnYnnnnn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	48	20	0.42	nYYYnYnnnY	1	1	0.31	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	64	15	0.23	nnnnYYYnnY	1	0	0.28	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	258	25	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.05	hist	no
Airbnb	airbnb	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	yes