# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2026-02-05 · 40 words in 43 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26FEB05 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-announcement-on-february-5 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:19:00Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-02-05 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26FEB05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of NBC Nightly News with Tom Llamas scheduled at 6:30pm ET and/or Top Story with Tom Llamas scheduled at 7:00pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-announcement-on-february-5 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on February 5, 2026.
# rows 1-28 of 43 by p · more: offset=28 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	1	K	75	51	0.68	YYYnYYYYYn	1	1	0.66	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	169	121	0.72	nnYnYnnYnn	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	1	K	64	46	0.72	YnYnnYnYYY	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	K	15	9	0.6	YnYYnYYYYn	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	P	97	64	0.66	YYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	P	23	13	0.57	YnYYYYnYnn	1	1	0.54	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	1	K	19	6	0.32	YYnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	116	79	0.68	YnnYnnYYYn	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Eight War	eight war	1	K	49	28	0.57	nnYnYnYnnn	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	109	69	0.63	YYnnnYYnnn	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	94	57	0.61	YYYYYYYnYn	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Kennedy / Autism	autism|kennedy	1	P	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	1	0	0.48	hist	yes
Biden / Obama 5+ times	biden|obama#5	5	P	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	1	1	0.47	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	135	74	0.55	nnYnnnnnnn	1	1	0.47	hist	no
Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterated|obliteration	1	P	6	3	0.5	nYnYnY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Oman / Witkoff	oman|witkoff	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.45	hist	no
COVID / Pandemic	covid|pandemic	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.44	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	92	39	0.42	nYnnnnnYYn	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Job 7+ times	job#7	7	P	4	3	0.75	YYYn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	P	47	19	0.4	nnYYYnYnnn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Percent 7+ times	percent#7	7	P	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.41	hist	yes
Hell	hell	1	P	23	10	0.43	YnnnnYYYnn	1	1	0.41	hist	no
U.K. / United Kingdom	uk|united kingdom	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Paid Agitator / Professional Agitator	paid agitator|professional agitator	1	K	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Highest Inflation	highest inflation	1	K	6	3	0.5	YnYYnn	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	K	47	19	0.4	nnYYYnYnnn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Tax / Tariff 7+ times	tariff|tax#7	7	P	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.37	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	92	39	0.42	nYnnnnnYYn	1	1	0.36	hist	yes