# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-02-04 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26FEB04 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:04:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-04 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26FEB04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bill Signing on February 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Trillion	trillion	63	45	0.71	YYnYnnYnYY	1	1	0.69	yes
Tariff	tariff	114	78	0.68	YYYnnYnnYY	1	1	0.64	yes
Democrat	democrat	73	50	0.68	nYYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.64	yes
Biden	biden	167	121	0.72	YYnnYnYnnY	1	1	0.62	no
Walz / Minnesota	minnesota|walz	4	4	1	YYYY	1	1	0.59	yes
Highest Inflation	highest inflation	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	1	1	0.58	no
China	china	107	69	0.64	YnYYnnnYYn	1	1	0.54	no
Border	border	92	56	0.61	nnYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.54	yes
Hottest	hottest	133	74	0.56	nYnnYnnnnn	1	1	0.54	no
Eight War	eight war	47	28	0.6	YYnnYnYnYn	1	1	0.53	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	19	11	0.58	nnYYYYYnYn	1	1	0.52	yes
Autopen	autopen	28	14	0.5	nnnYnYYYYY	1	0	0.5	no
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	7	3	0.43	YnnnnYY	1	0	0.5	no
Colombia	colombia	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.47	no
Cocaine / Fentanyl	cocaine|fentanyl	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	1	0.45	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	46	19	0.41	YnnYYYnYnn	1	1	0.32	no
Schumer	schumer	20	5	0.25	Ynnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.31	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	17	6	0.35	nYYYnnnnnn	1	1	0.3	no
Epstein	epstein	61	13	0.21	YYYnnnnYYn	1	0	0.25	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	255	25	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.06	no