# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-28 · 25 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR28 · as_of 2026-10-26T06:03:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-28 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR28 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Dinner with His Majesty King Charles III of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Her Majesty Queen Camilla , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
250	250	15	10	0.67	YnnnYYYYYn	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	161	105	0.65	YYnnnYYYnY	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.57	hist	no
Biden	biden	232	159	0.69	nYnYYYnnYn	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	125	84	0.67	nYnYYYYnnY	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Melania	melania	48	31	0.65	YYYYnYnYnY	1	0	0.55	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	53	31	0.58	nnYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.53	hist	no
Iran	iran	92	59	0.64	nnYnYYnnYn	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	22	14	0.64	nYYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.5	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	26	15	0.58	nYnYYYnnYn	1	1	0.48	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	64	35	0.55	YYYYYnYnYn	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Movie Star	movie star	6	3	0.5	YnnnYY	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Keir / Starmer	keir|starmer	7	2	0.29	nnYnYnn	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	207	108	0.52	YYYYYnnYnn	1	1	0.43	hist	no
NATO	nato	66	34	0.52	nnnYYYYYnn	1	1	0.43	hist	no
Elizabeth	elizabeth	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Churchill	churchill	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.39	hist	no
Peace	peace	36	19	0.53	nYnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	28	13	0.46	nYnYnnnnnn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	132	51	0.39	nnnnnnYnnn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
No No No	no no no	16	7	0.44	nnnYnnnnnn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	53	15	0.28	nnnnnYnnYn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	348	37	0.11	nnnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.04	hist	no
1776	1776	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	yes
Palace	palace	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no