# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-21 · 47 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR21 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-ncaa-national-champions-remarks-on-april-21 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:26:46Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-21 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks to NCAA Collegiate National Champions , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-ncaa-national-champions-remarks-on-april-21 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance.
# rows 1-36 of 47 by p · more: offset=36 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	K	12	10	0.83	nYYYYYYYYY	1	0	0.66	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	158	103	0.65	YYnYYnnnYY	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Oval Office	oval office	1	P	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.58	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	121	82	0.68	YYnnnYnYYY	1	1	0.57	hist	no
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	1	K	35	20	0.57	nnYnYYYYYY	1	0	0.57	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	228	158	0.69	YnYYnYnYYY	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	KP	89	58	0.65	YYYnnYnYYn	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	1	K	100	58	0.58	YnnYYnnnYY	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Oil	oil	1	K	66	35	0.53	nnYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.5	hist	no
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	1	K	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
NFL / NBA	nba|nfl	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.49	hist	no
Sleepy Joe / Biden	biden|sleepy joe	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.49	hist	no
Hot / Hottest	hot|hottest	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.47	hist	no
NIL	nil	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.47	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	60	33	0.55	nnnYYYYYYn	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Saban	saban	1	K	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.45	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	25	17	0.68	YYYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	201	106	0.53	YYnYnnYYYY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
SCORE Act	score act	1	K	0	0			1	0	0.45	hist	no
World Cup	world cup	1	K	15	8	0.53	nnnYYnYYnn	1	0	0.43	hist	no
Peace	peace	1	K	34	19	0.56	nYnYnnnnnn	1	1	0.42	hist	no
Blockade	blockade	1	K	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	0	0.41	hist	no
Common Sense	common sense	1	P	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Kickoff	kickoff	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.39	hist	no
Executive Order	executive order	1	P	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.38	hist	yes
McDonald / McDonald's	mcdonald	1	K	32	17	0.53	nnnnnnnnYn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Golf / Golfer	golf|golfer	1	P	7	3	0.43	nYYnYnn	1	1	0.37	hist	yes
Gold	gold	1	P	5	2	0.4	YnnYn	1	0	0.37	hist	yes
Hell 2+ times	hell#2	2	P	14	5	0.36	nYnnnnYnYY	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	K	40	14	0.35	nnnYnnYnnn	1	1	0.35	hist	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	1	K	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Good Looking	good looking	1	P	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	1	0	0.34	hist	no
NBA	nba	1	P	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.34	hist	no
GOAT / Greatest Of All Time	goat|greatest of all time	1	K	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.33	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	KP	50	14	0.28	nYYnnnnnYn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	K	40	10	0.25	nnYnYnnnnY	1	0	0.31	hist	no