# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-13 · 22 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR13 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:41:47Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-13 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res void · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Dinner with the King and Queen of the Kingdom of the Netherlands , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p
Tariff	tariff	156	101	0.65	nnYYnYYnnn	1	1	0.6
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	62	43	0.69	YYYnYYnYYn	1	0	0.56
Biden	biden	224	155	0.69	nYnYYnYYnY	1	1	0.55
Iran	iran	88	58	0.66	YYYYnnYnYY	1	1	0.55
Fake News	fake new	86	47	0.55	YYYnnnYnnY	1	1	0.53
China	china	141	90	0.64	nnYYYYnnnY	1	1	0.52
Friend of Mine	friend of mine	14	8	0.57	nYYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.51
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	22	14	0.64	YYnYnYnYYY	1	1	0.5
Europe / European	europe|european	8	6	0.75	nYYYYYnY	1	0	0.49
Peace	peace	33	19	0.58	YnYnYnnnnn	1	1	0.48
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	22	15	0.68	YYnYYYnYYY	1	1	0.47
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	11	8	0.73	nYYnYYYnYY	1	0	0.46
NATO	nato	62	32	0.52	YnnYnnnYYY	1	1	0.45
Hottest	hottest	196	102	0.52	YnnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.44
Invest / Invested / Investment	invest|invested|investment	0	0			1	1	0.42
JD Vance	jd vance	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	1	0	0.41
Hormuz	hormuz	30	11	0.37	nYYnYYYnnY	1	0	0.32
Ballroom	ballroom	48	13	0.27	nYnYYnnnnn	1	0	0.32
Ceasefire	ceasefire	36	9	0.25	nnnYnnYnYn	1	0	0.3
America First	america first	36	12	0.33	nnnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.24
Uranium	uranium	7	0	0	nnnnnnn	1	0	0.22
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	335	36	0.11	YYnnnnnYnY	1	0	0.05