# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-01 · 41 words in 43 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR01 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-easter-lunch-on-april-1 · as_of 2026-10-25T15:55:17Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-01 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-26APR01 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The White House Easter Egg Roll, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-easter-lunch-on-april-1 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Easter lunch scheduled for April 1 2026.
# rows 1-35 of 43 by p · more: offset=35 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Melania	melania	1	K	41	27	0.66	YYYYYYYYYY	1	0	0.65	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	P	86	56	0.65	YnYYYYnnYn	1	1	0.62	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	KP	114	78	0.68	YnYYYnYYYn	1	1	0.61	hist	no
250	250	1	K	13	9	0.69	nYYnnnYYYY	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	219	152	0.69	YYYYYnYnYY	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Iran	iran	1	K	86	56	0.65	YnYYYYnnYn	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	K	94	55	0.59	YnYYYYYnnY	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Settle / Deal	deal|settle	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	P	48	33	0.69	YYYnnYnYnY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Egg	egg	1	K	26	11	0.42	YnYYYnnnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Military	military	1	P	6	6	1	YYYYYY	1	1	0.51	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	K	21	13	0.62	YYYnYnYnYY	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
November 5	november 5	1	K	10	5	0.5	YnYnnYYYnn	1	1	0.47	hist	no
War	war	1	P	7	5	0.71	YnnYYYY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Mutilization	mutilization	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Movie Star	movie star	1	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.44	hist	yes
Honor 3+ times	honor#3	3	P	0	0			1	0	0.43	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	189	97	0.51	YnYnnnnYnn	1	1	0.42	hist	yes
Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterated|obliteration	1	P	9	4	0.44	nYnYnYnnY	1	1	0.41	hist	no
Hell	hell	1	P	29	12	0.41	YYnnnnnnYY	1	1	0.41	hist	no
April Fools	april fool	1	K	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.41	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	K	37	14	0.38	YYYnnnYnnY	1	1	0.4	hist	no
NASA / Moon	moon|nasa	1	K	0	0			1	1	0.4	hist	yes
Resurrection / Resurrected / Resurrect	resurrect|resurrected|resurrection	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.4	hist	no
Jesus	jesus	1	K	9	3	0.33	nnYnYnnYn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Low IQ	low iq	1	P	9	3	0.33	YnnnnYnYn	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Pope	pope	1	K	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	1	0	0.39	hist	no
God 7+ times	god#7	7	P	0	0			1	0	0.39	hist	no
Peace	peace	1	P	31	19	0.61	YYYnYnYnnn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Egg	egg	1	P	26	11	0.42	YnYYYnnnYY	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Peace in the Middle East	peace in the middle east	1	P	18	8	0.44	YYYnYnnnnn	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	KP	44	13	0.3	nYnnnYnYYn	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	P	80	45	0.56	YYnYnYYYYn	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	K	48	19	0.4	nYYYYnnnnn	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	1	K	26	9	0.35	nnnnnYYnYY	1	0	0.33	hist	no