# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-19 · 28 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV19 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:18:51Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-19 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of dinner with the Crown Prince and Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	106	82	0.77	YnYYYYnnYY	0.71	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	64	48	0.75	nYYYYnnnnY	0.7	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	24	17	0.71	YYnYYYnnYY	0.65	hist	yes
China	china	67	51	0.76	YYnYnnnnYn	0.63	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	39	27	0.69	YYYnnYnYYY	0.61	hist	yes
Economy	economy	13	9	0.69	nnYYnYYYYY	0.59	hist	no
Israel	israel	41	24	0.59	nYYYnnYYYY	0.58	hist	no
Peace	peace	21	14	0.67	YYnYYYnnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	61	37	0.61	nYYnYnnnYn	0.53	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	70	35	0.5	YnnnnnnnnY	0.52	hist	yes
Election	election	36	21	0.58	YYnYnnnnYn	0.5	hist	yes
Abraham	abraham	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.49	hist	no
Border	border	65	37	0.57	nYnnnnnnnn	0.48	hist	no
Hoax	hoax	9	4	0.44	YnnYnnnYY	0.47	hist	no
Investment	investment	35	17	0.49	YYnnYnnnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Gas	gas	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	no
Disaster	disaster	15	8	0.53	nnnnYYnYnY	0.42	hist	no
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	12	5	0.42	YnYnnnnYnn	0.42	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	16	8	0.5	nnYYnnnYnY	0.41	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	51	20	0.39	nnYnnnnnnY	0.38	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	23	10	0.43	nnnnnnnYnn	0.33	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	18	6	0.33	nnnnYnnnYn	0.33	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	15	5	0.33	YYnnnnnnnn	0.33	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	31	4	0.13	nnnnnnnnnY	0.28	hist	no
Water	water	21	5	0.24	nnnYnnnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	187	18	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Bomber	bomber	0	0			0.41	prior	yes