# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-18 · 23 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV18 · as_of 2026-10-26T18:26:12Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-18 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of White House Task Force on the FIFA World Cup 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Biden	biden	104	80	0.77	nYYnYYYYnn	0.7	yes
China	china	65	50	0.77	YnYYnYnnnn	0.65	no
Trillion	trillion	22	15	0.68	YnYYnYYYnn	0.63	yes
Democrat	democrat	37	25	0.68	YYYYYnnYnY	0.6	yes
250	250	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	0.58	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	10	7	0.7	YYnnYYnYYY	0.58	no
Hottest	hottest	67	34	0.51	nnnYnnnnnn	0.53	no
Election	election	34	20	0.59	nnYYnYnnnn	0.52	no
Investment	investment	33	16	0.48	YnYYnnYnnn	0.43	yes
Trump	trump	22	10	0.45	nnYYnYYYnn	0.42	no
Maduro	maduro	10	4	0.4	nYnnnYnnYY	0.41	no
Radical Left	radical left	20	11	0.55	nnYnYYnnnn	0.4	no
Soccer	soccer	1	0	0	n	0.4	yes
Disaster	disaster	14	7	0.5	nnnnnYYnYn	0.38	yes
Hoax	hoax	8	3	0.38	YnnYnnnY	0.38	yes
Marjorie / Traitor	marjorie|traitor	0	0			0.37	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	22	10	0.45	YnnnnnnnYn	0.36	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	49	19	0.39	YYnnYnnnnn	0.36	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	17	6	0.35	nnnnnYnnnY	0.36	no
SNAP / Food Stamp	food stamp|snap	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.36	no
Olympic / Olympics	olympic	4	1	0.25	nnnY	0.36	yes
Epstein	epstein	29	3	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.2	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	184	18	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.12	no