# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2025-11-04 · 17 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV04 · as_of 2026-10-25T19:09:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-04 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Virginia Tele-Rally on November 3rd, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Tax	tax	10	8	0.8	nYYYYYnYYY	0.66	yes
Biden	biden	88	69	0.78	YnnnYYYnnn	0.64	yes
Democrat	democrat	27	18	0.67	nYYnYYnYnn	0.64	yes
Energy	energy	23	15	0.65	nnYYnYYnnY	0.61	yes
Border	border	52	33	0.63	YYnnYYYnnn	0.61	yes
Radical Left	radical left	14	9	0.64	nYnYYYnnYn	0.6	yes
Corrupt	corrupt	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.59	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	11	7	0.64	YYYYnYnnYn	0.55	yes
Windmill	windmill	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.55	no
Hottest	hottest	47	29	0.62	nYnYYYYYnn	0.52	no
Disaster	disaster	9	4	0.44	YYYYnnnnn	0.52	yes
Drug	drug	17	10	0.59	YnnYYnnnYY	0.49	yes
Inflation	inflation	12	6	0.5	nYYYnnYYnn	0.43	yes
Bedminster	bedminster	1	0	0	n	0.42	no
Cheat / Cheater / Cheated	cheat|cheated|cheater	1	0	0	n	0.42	no
Invest / Investment	invest|investment	1	0	0	n	0.42	no
Trump	trump	9	4	0.44	YYYnnYnnn	0.4	no