# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-23 · 42 words in 43 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC23 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-kennedy-center-honors-on-december-7 · as_of 2026-10-24T02:21:46Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-23 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement on December 22nd, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-kennedy-center-honors-on-december-7 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
# rows 1-38 of 43 by p · more: offset=38 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	1	K	43	32	0.74	YYYYYYYnYn	0.71	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	136	102	0.75	YnYnYYnYYY	0.66	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	95	66	0.69	YYnYnnYnYY	0.65	hist	yes
Border / Tariff	border|tariff	1	P	0	0			0.65	hist	yes
Sleepy Joe / Autopen	autopen|sleepy joe	1	P	0	0			0.63	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	P	136	102	0.75	YnYnYYnYYY	0.62	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	56	37	0.66	nnnnYYYYnn	0.59	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	KP	103	57	0.55	nnnnYYnnYY	0.56	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	70	44	0.63	nYYYYYYnnY	0.55	hist	yes
Christmas	christma	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnnY	0.54	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	89	59	0.66	nYYnnnnnnn	0.53	hist	yes
Eight War	eight war	1	K	23	14	0.61	YYYnYnnYYY	0.51	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	P	30	16	0.53	nnYnYYYYnY	0.48	hist	no
Russia	russia	1	K	49	27	0.55	nnYnnYYnYn	0.47	hist	yes
Shit / Damn / Ass	ass|damn|shit	1	P	0	0			0.47	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	K	37	20	0.54	nnYYnnYnnn	0.46	hist	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	K	8	4	0.5	YnYYnnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Walz	walz	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.46	hist	no
National Guard	national guard	1	P	26	10	0.38	nYnnnnnYnY	0.44	hist	no
King / Queen	king|queen	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	K	23	6	0.26	nnnnnnYYYn	0.41	hist	no
Fish / Fishing	fish|fishing	1	K	0	0			0.41	hist	yes
Tomahawk	tomahawk	1	K	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.38	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	KP	35	15	0.43	nnnYYnYnYn	0.37	hist	no
Anniversary	anniversary	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
November 5th / Election	election|november 5th	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Strength / Strong	strength|strong	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	K	46	23	0.5	nnYnnYYYYn	0.32	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	K	27	12	0.44	nYnnnnnnnn	0.31	hist	yes
DEI	dei	1	K	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.31	hist	no
Hell 2+ times	hell#2	2	P	9	2	0.22	YnnnnYnnn	0.26	hist	no
DEI / Woke / Women's sports	dei|woke|women's sport	1	P	0	0			0.26	hist	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	1	K	9	2	0.22	nnnnnnYnY	0.25	hist	yes
Department of War	department of war	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.25	hist	no
Drone	drone	1	K	23	2	0.09	nnnYnnnnnn	0.2	hist	no
Woke	woke	1	K	33	4	0.12	nnnnnnnnnn	0.18	hist	no
Maduro	maduro	1	K	32	8	0.25	nnnnnYnnnY	0.14	hist	yes
Beautiful 7+ times	beautiful#7	7	P	0	0			0.41	prior	no