# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-19 · 40 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC19 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-announcement-on-december-19-996 · as_of 2026-10-24T04:04:37Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-19 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of National Defense Authorization Act signing, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-announcement-on-december-19-996 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
# rows 1-35 of 40 by p · more: offset=35 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	1	K	42	32	0.76	YYYYYYYYnY	0.74	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	132	99	0.75	nYYnYnYnYY	0.66	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	92	64	0.7	nYYYYnYnnY	0.66	hist	no
Christmas	christma	1	K	4	4	1	YYYY	0.65	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	55	37	0.67	nnnnnYYYYn	0.61	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	67	43	0.64	nnYnYYYYYY	0.6	hist	no
Biden/Obama	biden|obama	1	P	3	3	1	YYY	0.58	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	K	99	55	0.56	nYYYnnnnYY	0.57	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times	billion|million|trillion#12	12	P	8	5	0.62	nYnYnYYY	0.56	hist	no
China	china	1	K	87	59	0.68	nnnYYnnnnn	0.55	hist	no
Eight War	eight war	1	K	18	11	0.61	YnnnYYYYnY	0.54	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	1	K	35	20	0.57	YYnnYYnnYn	0.53	hist	no
MAGA/Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	P	32	23	0.72	YnnnYYYYYn	0.5	hist	yes
Russia	russia	1	K	48	27	0.56	nnnYnnYYnY	0.5	hist	no
Terrible/Horrible	horrible|terrible	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	K	6	3	0.5	YnYYnn	0.46	hist	no
AI/Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	71	28	0.39	nYYnYnnYYY	0.46	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability 3+ times	affordability|affordable#3	3	P	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Tomahawk	tomahawk	1	K	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.44	hist	no
Merry Christmas	merry christma	1	P	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.42	hist	no
Pharmaceutical/Pharmaceuticals	pharmaceutical	1	P	7	3	0.43	nYYnnnY	0.4	hist	yes
Autism	autism	1	P	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.38	hist	no
DEI	dei	1	K	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.37	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	KP	32	14	0.44	YnYnnnYYnY	0.36	hist	no
Drug 3+ times	drug#3	3	P	0	0			0.36	hist	yes
Ozempic / Fat shot	fat shot|ozempic	1	P	12	4	0.33	nYnYYnnnnn	0.35	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	1	K	44	22	0.5	YYnnYnnYYY	0.34	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	K	25	12	0.48	YnnYnnnnnn	0.34	hist	no
Maduro/Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	P	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.33	hist	yes
Thank you / Please 18+ times	please|thank you#18	18	P	1	0	0	n	0.33	hist	yes
Department of War	department of war	1	K	4	0	0	nnnn	0.3	hist	no
TikTok/Tik Tok	tik tok|tiktok	1	P	0	0			0.26	hist	no
Drone	drone	1	K	22	2	0.09	nnnnYnnnnn	0.22	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	P	47	8	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	0.21	hist	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	1	K	7	1	0.14	nnnnnnY	0.19	hist	no