# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-17 · 41 words in 42 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC17 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-address-on-december-17 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:58:34Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-17 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1 · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Hanukkah Reception on December 16, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-address-on-december-17 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
# rows 1-37 of 42 by p · more: offset=37 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	K	41	31	0.76	YYYYYYYYYn	0.73	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	K	90	63	0.7	nnnYYYYnYn	0.67	hist	no
Biden	biden	K	130	97	0.75	nnnYYnYnYn	0.65	hist	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	P	31	23	0.74	YYnnnYYYYY	0.64	hist	no
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	P	24	16	0.67	nYnYnYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Peace	peace	K	27	18	0.67	nnYYYYYnYn	0.6	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	K	97	53	0.55	YYnYYYnnnn	0.58	hist	no
Biden / Obama	biden|obama	P	2	2	1	YY	0.57	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	P	65	41	0.63	YnnnYnYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Eight War	eight war	K	16	10	0.62	nnYnnnYYYY	0.57	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	P	97	53	0.55	YYnYYYnnnn	0.57	hist	yes
Hanukkah	hanukkah	P	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.56	hist	no
Eight War / Eighth War	eight war|eighth war	P	0	0			0.56	hist	yes
Peace in the Middle East	peace in the middle east	P	6	4	0.67	YYYnYn	0.55	hist	no
Border	border	P	79	47	0.59	YYnYnYYYYn	0.55	hist	yes
Green New Scam	green new scam	P	7	4	0.57	nYnYYnY	0.55	hist	no
Tax on Tips	tax on tip	P	0	0			0.54	hist	yes
Christmas	christma	K	2	2	1	YY	0.52	hist	yes
Abraham	abraham	K	9	6	0.67	YnYYnYnYY	0.51	hist	no
Election	election	KP	51	30	0.59	nYYYnYnnYn	0.51	hist	yes
Trump	trump	KP	29	15	0.52	YnnYnYYYYn	0.51	hist	yes
JD / Vance	jd|vance	P	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	P	69	26	0.38	YnnYYnYnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Bibi	bibi	K	6	4	0.67	YYYnnY	0.49	hist	yes
Golden Age	golden age	P	8	5	0.62	YnYYYYnn	0.49	hist	no
Putin / Zelenskyy	putin|zelenskyy	P	0	0			0.47	hist	no
Middle East	middle east	K	22	11	0.5	nnYYYnnnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Australia	australia	P	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	no
ISIS / Syria	isis|syria	P	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Venezuela	venezuela	P	9	5	0.56	YYYYYnnnn	0.45	hist	no
Israel	israel	K	47	25	0.53	YYYYYnnnnn	0.43	hist	yes
Bondi / Australia / Sydney	australia|bondi|sydney	K	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Palestine / Gaza	gaza|palestine	K	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	P	31	13	0.42	nYnYnnnYYn	0.4	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	K	31	15	0.48	nYnnnYnnYY	0.39	hist	no
Antisemitism / Antisemitic	antisemitic|antisemitism	K	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	yes
Economy	economy	K	24	12	0.5	YYnnYnnnnn	0.36	hist	no