# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-16 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC16 · as_of 2026-10-24T02:21:46Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-16 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Mexican Border Defense Medal Presentation, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trillion	trillion	39	30	0.77	YnYYYYYYYY	0.76	yes
Tariff	tariff	88	62	0.7	nnnnnYYYYn	0.68	yes
Biden	biden	128	96	0.75	YnnnnYYnYn	0.66	yes
Democrat	democrat	53	36	0.68	YYnnnnnYYY	0.62	yes
Hottest	hottest	95	53	0.56	YYYYnYYYnn	0.61	no
Eight War	eight war	15	9	0.6	nnnYnnnYYY	0.53	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.51	no
Election	election	49	29	0.59	YnnYYYnYnn	0.51	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.44	no
Autopen / Auto Pen	auto pen|autopen	15	9	0.6	YYYnYYnYYn	0.43	yes
Tom / Homan	homan|tom	2	0	0	nn	0.4	yes
Economy	economy	23	12	0.52	nYYnnYnnnn	0.38	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	18	8	0.44	nYnnnYYnnn	0.37	yes
Radical Left	radical left	30	14	0.47	nnYnnnYnnY	0.36	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	21	5	0.24	nnnnnnnnYY	0.35	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	31	11	0.35	nnnnnnnnYn	0.28	yes
Water	water	23	5	0.22	nYnnnnnnnn	0.23	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.18	no
Maduro	maduro	24	6	0.25	nnnnnnnYnn	0.17	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	209	19	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	no