# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-13 · 23 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC13 · as_of 2026-10-24T01:05:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-13 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bill Signing Ceremony, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	38	29	0.76	nYnYYYYYYY	0.75	hist	yes
Biden	biden	127	96	0.76	YYnnnnYYnY	0.67	hist	no
Drug	drug	24	17	0.71	nYYYYYYYYY	0.65	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	94	53	0.56	YYYYYnYYYn	0.62	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	52	35	0.67	YYYnnnnnYY	0.61	hist	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.58	hist	no
China	china	84	59	0.7	YYnnnnYYnn	0.58	hist	no
Election	election	48	29	0.6	YYnnYYYnYn	0.53	hist	no
250 / Olympics	250|olympic	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.52	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	20	10	0.5	nnnnYYYYYn	0.52	hist	no
Eight War	eight war	14	8	0.57	YnnnYnnnYY	0.49	hist	yes
World Cup / Fifa	fifa|world cup	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Russia	russia	47	26	0.55	nnnnYnnYYn	0.47	hist	yes
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	22	9	0.41	nYnnnnYYYn	0.45	hist	no
ICE / Border Patrol	border patrol|ice	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.44	hist	yes
Veteran	veteran	5	3	0.6	YYnYn	0.4	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	14	7	0.5	YYnYYYnnnn	0.39	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	17	8	0.47	YnYnnnYYnn	0.39	hist	no
Disaster	disaster	21	9	0.43	nYnYnnYnnn	0.35	hist	yes
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis	cannabis|marijuana|weed	14	1	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.23	hist	no
Dividend / Stimulus	dividend|stimulus	4	0	0	nnnn	0.21	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	206	19	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.08	hist	no
Who are you with	who are you with	0	0			0.42	prior	no