# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-10 · 32 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC10 · as_of 2026-10-24T04:04:37Z # scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-10 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets # rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Mount Pocono, then the market resolves to Yes. w key n y rate l10 p p_src res Trillion trillion 35 26 0.74 YYYnYnYYYY 0.72 hist yes Tariff tariff 84 59 0.7 YYYYnnnnnY 0.66 hist yes Hottest hottest 90 50 0.56 YYYYYYYYYn 0.6 hist yes Military military 4 4 1 YYYY 0.59 hist yes Nuclear nuclear 64 40 0.62 nYnnnYnYYY 0.57 hist yes Beef beef 7 4 0.57 nYnnYYY 0.56 hist no Hoax hoax 18 9 0.5 YYnnnnYYYY 0.53 hist yes 250 / Olympics 250|olympic 1 1 1 Y 0.52 hist yes Investment / Invested invested|investment 3 2 0.67 YnY 0.51 hist yes Sleepy Joe sleepy joe 28 17 0.61 YYYYYYYYnn 0.51 hist yes Ukraine ukraine 33 19 0.58 YYYYnnYYnn 0.5 hist yes Trump trump 27 14 0.52 YYYnnYnYYY 0.48 hist yes Drill Baby Drill drill baby drill 29 20 0.69 YYYYYYnnnY 0.47 hist yes Frack / Fracking frack|fracking 3 2 0.67 YnY 0.46 hist yes November 5 november 5 2 1 0.5 Yn 0.44 hist yes Rare Earth / Mineral mineral|rare earth 20 8 0.4 YnnYnnnnYY 0.44 hist yes Fake News fake new 40 21 0.53 nnYYYnYYnn 0.43 hist yes Affordable / Affordability affordability|affordable 14 7 0.5 YYnYnYnnnY 0.41 hist yes Autopen / Auto Pen auto pen|autopen 12 7 0.58 nnYYYYnYYn 0.4 hist yes Somalia / Somalian somalia|somalian 0 0 0.4 hist yes Eight War eight war 12 6 0.5 YYYnnnYnnn 0.38 hist yes Stock Market stock market 21 9 0.43 nnnnnnYYYY 0.37 hist yes Manufacturing manufacturing 13 4 0.31 nYYnnnnnYn 0.37 hist yes Dividend / Stimulus dividend|stimulus 1 0 0 n 0.34 hist no Radical Left radical left 29 13 0.45 nnnYnnnYnn 0.32 hist yes ICE / Border Patrol border patrol|ice 0 0 0.3 hist yes America First america first 15 7 0.47 YYnnnnnnnY 0.28 hist no Illegal Alien illegal alien 29 10 0.34 nYnnnnnnnn 0.25 hist yes Crypto / Bitcoin bitcoin|crypto 203 19 0.09 nnnnnnnnnn 0.09 hist no Casino casino 0 0 0.41 prior no Highest Inflation highest inflation 0 0 0.41 prior yes Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime tax on overtime|tax on tip 0 0 0.41 prior yes