# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-09 · 47 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC09 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-events-on-december-9 · as_of 2026-10-24T04:04:37Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-09 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Roundtable meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-pennsylvania-events-on-december-9 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
# rows 1-36 of 47 by p · more: offset=36 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	1	K	34	25	0.74	YYYYnYnYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	124	94	0.76	YYYYYnnnnY	0.68	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	83	58	0.7	nYYYYnnnnn	0.66	hist	yes
Drug	drug	1	K	23	16	0.7	nnYYYYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	K	89	50	0.56	YYYYYYYYYY	0.61	hist	no
China	china	1	K	80	57	0.71	nnYnYYnnnn	0.58	hist	yes
Job 20+ times	job#20	20	P	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	74	43	0.58	nYnYYYYnYn	0.51	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 12+ times	billion|million|trillion#12	12	P	7	4	0.57	nYnYnYY	0.5	hist	yes
Hell 5+ times	hell#5	5	P	9	5	0.56	YYnnnnYYY	0.5	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	P	28	19	0.68	nYYYYYYnnn	0.49	hist	yes
Beef	beef	1	K	6	3	0.5	nYnnYY	0.48	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	1	K	17	8	0.47	YYYnnnnYYY	0.48	hist	yes
Kennedy / Autism	autism|kennedy	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	no
America / American 15+ times	america|american#15	15	P	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Mental institution	mental institution	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Green New Scam	green new scam	1	P	6	3	0.5	nYnYYn	0.44	hist	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	K	9	3	0.33	nnnnYnYnY	0.43	hist	yes
Minnesota / Walz	minnesota|walz	1	P	0	0			0.43	hist	yes
Tariff 15+ times	tariff#15	15	P	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist	no
Crazy / Kamala	crazy|kamala	1	P	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Joe / Biden 7+ times	biden|joe#7	7	P	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	yes
World Cup	world cup	1	P	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.41	hist	no
Trump 3+ times	trump#3	3	P	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.41	hist	yes
King	king	1	P	9	4	0.44	nYYnYnYnn	0.41	hist	yes
Death Tax / Estate Tax	death tax|estate tax	1	K	0	0			0.41	hist	yes
Disaster / Catastrophe	catastrophe|disaster	1	P	0	0			0.41	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	P	21	15	0.71	YYnYnYnYnY	0.4	hist	yes
Frack / Fracking	frack|fracking	1	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.39	hist	yes
Heritage / Wealth	heritage|wealth	1	P	0	0			0.39	hist	yes
Nvidia / General Motors	general motor|nvidia	1	P	0	0			0.38	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	K	13	6	0.46	YYYnYnYnnn	0.36	hist	yes
Too Late	too late	1	P	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.36	hist	yes
Amish / Rancher	amish|rancher	1	P	0	0			0.36	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	68	25	0.37	nYnnYYnYnn	0.35	hist	yes