# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-05 · 21 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC05 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:45:37Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-05 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Meetings and signing ceremony with the President of the Republic of Rwanda and the President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Tariff	tariff	77	57	0.74	nYnnYYnYYY	0.73	yes
Biden	biden	118	92	0.78	YYYnYYYYYY	0.71	yes
Democrat	democrat	45	33	0.73	nYYYYYYYYY	0.67	no
China	china	76	57	0.75	nYYYnnYnYY	0.65	no
Hottest	hottest	84	45	0.54	nnnnYYYYYY	0.57	yes
India	india	14	11	0.79	YYYYYnYYnY	0.55	no
November 5	november 5	1	1	1	Y	0.52	no
Somalia / Somalian / Somali	somali|somalia|somalian	1	1	1	Y	0.47	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	10	6	0.6	nYnYYYnYnY	0.47	no
Investment	investment	44	21	0.48	YYYYnnnnYn	0.45	no
Trump	trump	26	13	0.5	nYYYnnYnYY	0.44	yes
Eight War	eight war	9	5	0.56	YYYYYnnnn	0.41	yes
Genocide	genocide	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.41	no
Christian / Christianity	christian|christianity	0	0			0.41	no
Oil / Gas	gas|oil	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.4	no
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	19	7	0.37	YYnnYnnnnY	0.4	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	0	0	n	0.34	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	27	10	0.37	nnnYnnnnnn	0.29	no
Maduro	maduro	18	5	0.28	YYnnYnnnnn	0.23	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	24	4	0.17	nYnnnnnnnn	0.23	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	197	19	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no