# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2025-12-02 · 39 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC02 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-cabinet-meeting-on-december-2 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:52:46Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-12-02 · tn/th blank: no rally transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Get Out The Vote Telerally, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-cabinet-meeting-on-december-2 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Energy	energy	1	K	28	19	0.68	YYnnYYYYYn	0.68	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	1	K	30	22	0.73	nnYYYYYYnY	0.66	hist	no
China	china	1	K	73	55	0.75	nnYnYYYnnY	0.65	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	K	73	54	0.74	YYYYnYnnYY	0.65	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	115	89	0.77	YYnYYYnYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Drug	drug	1	K	21	14	0.67	YnnnYYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	69	40	0.58	nnnnnnYnYY	0.62	hist	yes
Disaster	disaster	1	K	20	9	0.45	YnYnYnnYnn	0.57	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	26	12	0.46	nnnnnnYnnn	0.56	hist	yes
Oil / Gas	gas|oil	1	K	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.55	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	K	18	11	0.61	YYYYYnYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Nuclear / Skedaddle	nuclear|skedaddle	1	P	0	0			0.55	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	K	7	4	0.57	nYnYYYn	0.53	hist	yes
Congo	congo	1	P	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.52	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	P	65	24	0.37	YYnnYnnYYn	0.46	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	K	41	19	0.46	nYnYYnnYnn	0.42	hist	yes
Ass / Shit	ass|shit	1	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.41	hist	no
IQ	iq	1	P	11	5	0.45	YnnnnnYnYY	0.41	hist	yes
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	1	K	17	6	0.35	nnYnnnnnnY	0.41	hist	no
Biden / Obama 7+ times	biden|obama#7	7	P	0	0			0.41	hist	yes
Somalia / Somalian / Somali	somali|somalia|somalian	1	P	0	0			0.41	hist	yes
Boat / Terrorist	boat|terrorist	1	P	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	1	K	22	9	0.41	nYnYnYnnnn	0.39	hist	yes
Retarded / Walz	retarded|walz	1	P	0	0			0.39	hist	yes
Tax / Deductible 5+ times	deductible|tax#5	5	P	0	0			0.39	hist	yes
Maduro	maduro	1	P	14	5	0.36	nYnnYYnnYn	0.38	hist	no
Autism / Tylenol	autism|tylenol	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Russia / Ukraine / Venezuela 15+ times	russia|ukraine|venezuela#15	15	P	0	0			0.36	hist	no
Hell 4+ times	hell#4	4	P	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
Peanut / Infinitesimal	infinitesimal|peanut	1	P	0	0			0.34	hist	yes
Woke	woke	1	K	28	4	0.14	nYnnnnnnnn	0.33	hist	no
Crypto / DOGE	crypto|doge	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.33	hist	no
Defund	defund	1	K	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Midterm	midterm	1	K	0	0			0.52	prior	no
Job 20+ times	job#20	20	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times	billion|million|trillion#20	20	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Sarah / Beckstrom	beckstrom|sarah	1	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Thank You / Please 15+ times	please|thank you#15	15	P	0	0			0.4	prior	yes
Job 15+ times	job#15	15	P	2	2	1	YY