# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-22 · 71 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY22 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-rockland-county-events · as_of 2026-10-24T18:36:21Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-22 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks in Suffern, New York , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-rockland-county-events (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during remarks in Rockland County scheduled for May 22, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 71 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
250	250	1	K	23	15	0.65	YnYYnYYnYn	1	1	0.66	hist	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	149	98	0.66	nnYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Social Security	social security	1	K	4	4	1	YYYY	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Nuclear 3+ times	nuclear#3	3	P	7	6	0.86	YYYYYnY	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	1	K	97	65	0.67	YYYYYnnnnY	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian (3+ times)	iran|iranian#3	3	K	0	0			1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	92	56	0.61	nnYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	K	62	38	0.61	YYYYnYYYnn	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
SAVE Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	1	K	17	11	0.65	nYnnYYYnnY	1	0	0.55	hist	yes
Job 7+ times	job#7	7	P	6	5	0.83	YYYnYY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	KP	104	58	0.56	YYYYnnYnYY	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	143	94	0.66	nYnnnYnnnY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
250 / 250th	250|250th	1	P	7	5	0.71	YYYnYnY	1	1	0.51	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	253	170	0.67	nnnYnYnYnY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	176	111	0.63	nnnnYnnYYn	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Save America	save america	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.49	hist	yes
First Term	first term	1	K	8	6	0.75	nYnYYYYY	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	1	P	69	32	0.46	nYnYYnnYYn	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Dumbocrat / Dumocrat / Dumacrat	dumacrat|dumbocrat|dumocrat	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.49	hist	yes
Border	border	1	K	109	67	0.61	YYnYnnnYYY	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
Scam / Fraud	fraud|scam	1	P	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Israel	israel	1	P	56	31	0.55	nYnYYnYYnY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	233	124	0.53	YnnnnYnYYY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
401k	401k	1	P	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Excursion / Journey	excursion|journey	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.45	hist	yes
Favored Nation	favored nation	1	P	9	5	0.56	YYnnYnnYY	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Eight War	eight war	1	KP	75	41	0.55	YnnYnYnYnn	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	81	44	0.54	nnYnYYnYnY	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	29	15	0.52	nYnnYYnnYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	KP	125	69	0.55	nnYnYYnnnY	1	1	0.42	hist	yes
UFO / UAP	uap|ufo	1	K	4	2	0.5	nYYn	1	0	0.42	hist	no
November 5	november 5	1	K	13	6	0.46	nnYYYnnnnY	1	1	0.42	hist	no
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	1	P	43	18	0.42	nnYYnYnYYn	1	1	0.42	hist	no