# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-21 · 31 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY21 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:06:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-21 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Announcement with the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	14	9	0.64	YnnYYYYnYY	1	1	0.62	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	148	97	0.66	YnnYYYYYYn	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Bobby / Kennedy	bobby|kennedy	7	5	0.71	YYnnYYY	1	1	0.58	hist	no
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	71	45	0.63	YYYYYYYnnY	1	0	0.54	hist	no
Election	election	91	55	0.6	YnnYYYnnYY	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Green New Scam	green new scam	19	13	0.68	YYYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.53	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	142	93	0.65	nnYnnnYnnn	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	31	20	0.65	YnYYYYnnYn	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Biden	biden	252	169	0.67	nnnnYnYnYn	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
Oil	oil	73	40	0.55	YYYYnYYYYn	1	1	0.5	hist	no
Autism / Autistic	autism|autistic	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.5	hist	no
Emission	emission	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.48	hist	yes
EV / Electric	electric|ev	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.48	hist	no
CAFE	cafe	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	232	123	0.53	nYnnnnYnYY	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	80	43	0.54	nnnYnYYnYn	1	1	0.42	hist	yes
Data Center	data center	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.41	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	124	68	0.55	nnnYnYYnnn	1	1	0.4	hist	yes
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	74	49	0.66	YnnnYnYnYY	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Windmill	windmill	40	20	0.5	YnYnnnnnnY	1	1	0.36	hist	no
Hoax	hoax	31	12	0.39	nnnnYnnnYn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Solar	solar	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	51	24	0.47	nnnnYnnnnn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	152	58	0.38	nnnnnYnnYn	1	1	0.32	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	67	25	0.37	YnnnnnnnnY	1	1	0.32	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	67	21	0.31	nYYnYnYnnn	1	0	0.3	hist	yes
National Security	national security	15	4	0.27	nnYnYnnnnY	1	1	0.3	hist	yes
MAHA / Make America Healthy Again	maha|make america healthy again	12	2	0.17	YnnnnnnYnn	1	1	0.27	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	374	38	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.03	hist	no
Fluoride	fluoride	0	0			1	0	0.4	prior	no