# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-19 · 2 speakers (ent column: whose market) · 51 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY19 · P p:what-will-trump-and-melania-say-during-the-congressional-picnic · as_of 2026-10-24T18:36:21Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-19 · tn/th per speaker: last transcripts of each · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY19 ({word} = w of K rows of ent donald-trump): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at the Congressional Picnic , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-and-melania-say-during-the-congressional-picnic (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald or Melania Trump say the listed term during their appearance at the Congressional Picnic on May 19, 2026.
# rows 1-29 of 51 by p · more: offset=29 (limit=0 lists all)
ent	w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
donald-trump	250	250	1	K	21	14	0.67	YYYnYYnYYn	1	1	0.64	hist	yes
melania-trump	Venezuela	venezuela	1	P	0	0					0.63	hist	yes
donald-trump	Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	K	12	7	0.58	YYYnnYYYYn	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
donald-trump	Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	146	95	0.65	YnYnnYYYYn	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
melania-trump	King	king	1	P	0	0					0.57	hist	no
melania-trump	Beautiful 3+ times	beautiful#3	3	P	0	0					0.54	hist	yes
donald-trump	Democrat	democrat	1	K	141	94	0.67	YYnnYnnnYn	1	1	0.53	hist	no
donald-trump	Election	election	1	K	89	53	0.6	nnYnnYYYnn	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
melania-trump	Iran	iran	1	P	3	0	0	nnn			0.53	hist	yes
melania-trump	Stock Market	stock market	1	P	0	0					0.53	hist	yes
donald-trump	Tariff	tariff	1	K	176	112	0.64	YnnnnYnnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
donald-trump	Biden	biden	1	K	253	171	0.68	YnnnnYnYnY	1	1	0.51	hist	no
donald-trump	Fake News	fake new	1	K	102	56	0.55	nnYYYYnnYn	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
donald-trump	China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
melania-trump	Honey / Darling	darling|honey	1	P	0	0					0.5	hist	yes
melania-trump	Nuclear	nuclear	1	P	3	0	0	nnn			0.49	hist	yes
melania-trump	Barron / Genius	barron|genius	1	P	0	0					0.49	hist	yes
melania-trump	Biden / Obama	biden|obama	1	P	0	0					0.49	hist	no
donald-trump	Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	29	16	0.55	nnYnnYYnnY	1	1	0.47	hist	no
donald-trump	Border	border	1	K	108	66	0.61	YYYYnYnnnY	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
melania-trump	250 / 250th	250|250th	1	P	2	0	0	nn			0.45	hist	yes
melania-trump	Hottest	hottest	1	P	0	0					0.45	hist	yes
donald-trump	Hottest	hottest	1	K	233	121	0.52	YnnYnnnnYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
melania-trump	Kid / Child 5+ times	child|kid#5	5	P	0	0					0.44	hist	yes
donald-trump	Invest / Invested / Investment	invest|invested|investment	1	K	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
melania-trump	China	china	1	P	0	0					0.43	hist	yes
melania-trump	Transgender	transgender	1	P	0	0					0.43	hist	no
donald-trump	Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	37	22	0.59	YnYnYnnnnY	1	1	0.42	hist	no
donald-trump	Transgender	transgender	1	K	122	68	0.56	nYnnnYnYYn	1	1	0.42	hist	no