# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-18 · 54 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY18 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-healthcare-affordability-event · as_of 2026-10-24T00:25:30Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-18 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Healthcare Affordability Event , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-healthcare-affordability-event (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Healthcare Affordability Event scheduled for May 18, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 54 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	145	94	0.65	YYnYnnYYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	K	10	6	0.6	nnYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	1	K	30	20	0.67	YYnYYYYnnY	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	KP	101	56	0.55	nnnYYYYnnY	1	1	0.53	hist	no
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	K	5	4	0.8	YYYnY	1	0	0.52	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	K	249	168	0.67	nYYnnnnYnY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	138	92	0.67	YYYYnnYnnn	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Bobby / Kennedy	bobby|kennedy	1	K	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	K	72	40	0.56	YYYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	P	42	28	0.67	YnYYnYnYYY	1	1	0.51	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	KP	174	110	0.63	YYnnnnYnnY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
TrumpRX	trumprx	1	KP	9	5	0.56	YnnYYYnnY	1	0	0.51	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	154	96	0.62	nnYnYYYYnn	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
FDA	fda	1	K	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.49	hist	no
Autism	autism	1	P	22	13	0.59	YYYnYnnYYY	1	0	0.48	hist	no
Best military / Greatest military	best military|greatest military	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.48	hist	yes
Tax / IRS	irs|tax	1	K	0	0			1	1	0.47	hist	no
Eight War	eight war	1	K	73	41	0.56	YYYnnYnYnY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Friend of mine	friend of mine	1	P	15	8	0.53	YYnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Favored Nation	favored nation	1	K	8	4	0.5	YYnnYnnY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	K	121	68	0.56	YnYnnnYnYY	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	228	120	0.53	YYYnnYnnnn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Eli Lilly	eli lilly	1	P	4	2	0.5	YnnY	1	1	0.43	hist	no
Ozempic / GLP-1 	glp 1|ozempic	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.4	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	36	21	0.58	nYnYnYnnnn	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	76	41	0.54	YYnYnnnYnY	1	1	0.38	hist	yes
Six Seven	six seven	1	P	23	9	0.39	nYYYYYnYnn	1	0	0.37	hist	no
London	london	1	P	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Fat shot / Ozempic	fat shot|ozempic	1	P	23	8	0.35	nnnYYYnnYn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	K	29	10	0.34	nnnYnnYnnn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Drug 15+ times	drug#15	15	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	1	0.35	hist	no
Insurance	insurance	1	KP	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	1	1	0.33	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	K	46	16	0.35	YnnnYnYnnn	1	1	0.33	hist	no
Psychedelic	psychedelic	1	K	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.33	hist	no