# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-14 · 19 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY14C · as_of 2026-10-24T05:51:10Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-14 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY14C ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Tea with the President of the People's Republic of China, inclusive of Greeting and Friendship Photo , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	94	64	0.68	YYYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.63	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	6	3	0.5	nnYYYn	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	140	91	0.65	YnnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	169	108	0.64	nYnnYYYnnn	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Biden	biden	245	166	0.68	YYYYnYYnnn	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Farmer / Soybean	farmer|soybean	0	0			1	1	0.49	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	221	118	0.53	YYYYYnYYYn	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	72	39	0.54	YnnYYYnYnn	1	1	0.42	hist	no
Elon / Jensen	elon|jensen	0	0			1	1	0.4	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	33	17	0.52	nYnnnYYnnn	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	32	15	0.47	nnnnnnnYYn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Boeing / Plane	boeing|plane	0	0			1	1	0.36	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	143	56	0.39	YYYnnYYnnn	1	1	0.35	hist	no
Hantavirus / Virus	hantavirus|virus	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.33	hist	no
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	32	11	0.34	nYYnnnnnnn	1	1	0.3	hist	no
Taiwan	taiwan	14	2	0.14	nnYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.26	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	48	12	0.25	nYYnnYnnnn	1	0	0.24	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	363	38	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	hist	no
Panda	panda	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.4	prior	no