# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-12 · 36 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY12 · as_of 2026-10-24T00:25:30Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-12 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the President of the People's Republic of China, inclusive of greeting , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src
Trillion	trillion	93	64	0.69	nYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.63	hist
Trump	trump	60	38	0.63	YnYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.63	hist
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	5	3	0.6	nnYYY	1	1	0.6	hist
Nuclear	nuclear	139	91	0.65	YYnnYYYYnY	1	1	0.58	hist
Fake News	fake new	98	55	0.56	YYYnnnYYYY	1	1	0.58	hist
Election	election	87	53	0.61	YYnnYnnYYY	1	1	0.56	hist
Tariff	tariff	168	108	0.64	YnYnnYYYnn	1	1	0.55	hist
Biden	biden	244	166	0.68	nYYYYnYYnn	1	1	0.54	hist
Democrat	democrat	136	92	0.68	YYYYYYnnYn	1	1	0.54	hist
Made in America / American Made	american made|made in america	0	0			1	0	0.52	hist
Farmer	farmer	18	10	0.56	YYYnnYYYnY	1	1	0.51	hist
Russia	russia	57	33	0.58	YnYYnYYYYn	1	1	0.5	hist
Border	border	104	64	0.62	YYnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.48	hist
Soybean	soybean	6	3	0.5	YnnnYY	1	0	0.48	hist
Hottest	hottest	220	118	0.54	YYYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.45	hist
Middle East	middle east	30	15	0.5	nYYYnYnnnY	1	0	0.45	hist
Moon	moon	9	4	0.44	nnYnYnYYn	1	1	0.45	hist
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	34	21	0.62	YYnYnYnYnn	1	1	0.43	hist
Stock Market	stock market	71	39	0.55	nYnnYYYnYn	1	1	0.42	hist
Windmill	windmill	37	19	0.51	nnnYnYnnnn	1	1	0.41	hist
Putin	putin	66	37	0.56	nYYnnYnnYn	1	1	0.4	hist
Robot / Robotic / Robotics	robot|robotic	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.4	hist
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	32	17	0.53	nnYnnnYYnn	1	1	0.38	hist
Covid / China Virus	china virus|covid	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.38	hist
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	31	15	0.48	YnnnnnnnYY	1	1	0.37	hist
Hantavirus	hantavirus	0	0			1	0	0.36	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	142	56	0.39	nYYYnnYYnn	1	1	0.35	hist
Fentanyl	fentanyl	32	9	0.28	nnnYnnnYYn	1	1	0.35	hist
Manufacturing	manufacturing	19	5	0.26	nnYnYnnnnn	1	0	0.33	hist
Disaster	disaster	26	10	0.38	nYnnnYnnnn	1	1	0.32	hist
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	31	11	0.35	nnYYnnnnnn	1	1	0.3	hist
Taiwan	taiwan	13	2	0.15	nnnYnnnnnn	1	0	0.26	hist
Ceasefire	ceasefire	47	12	0.26	nnYYnnYnnn	1	0	0.24	hist
TikTok	tiktok	51	11	0.22	nnYnYnnnYn	1	0	0.24	hist
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	362	38	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	hist
Panda	panda	0	0			1	0	0.4	prior