# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-11 · 24 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY11 · as_of 2026-10-25T00:05:54Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-11 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Maternal Healthcare Event , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Melania	melania	52	34	0.65	nYnYnYYnYY	1	0	0.6	no
Egg	egg	27	12	0.44	nYYYnnnYYY	1	1	0.55	no
Biden	biden	241	165	0.68	nnYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.54	yes
Democrat	democrat	134	91	0.68	YYYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.54	yes
Election	election	85	51	0.6	YYYYnnYnnY	1	1	0.53	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			1	1	0.53	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	29	19	0.66	YYYnYYYYnn	1	1	0.52	yes
Border	border	103	64	0.62	nYYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.51	no
Oil	oil	71	39	0.55	YYYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.5	yes
Transgender	transgender	114	65	0.57	nYnYYnYYnY	1	1	0.48	no
Bobby / Kennedy	bobby|kennedy	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	1	1	0.46	yes
TrumpRX	trumprx	8	4	0.5	YnnYYYnn	1	0	0.46	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	1	0.45	yes
Hottest	hottest	218	116	0.53	YnYYYYYYnY	1	1	0.44	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	27	14	0.52	YnnYnnYYnn	1	1	0.43	yes
Karoline / Leavitt	karoline|leavitt	10	3	0.3	nnYnnYnYnn	1	1	0.43	no
Stock Market	stock market	69	38	0.55	nYnYnnYYYn	1	1	0.42	yes
Autism / Autistic	autism|autistic	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.4	yes
Abortion	abortion	11	6	0.55	nYYYYYnnnn	1	0	0.39	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	31	9	0.29	YnnnYnnnYY	1	1	0.39	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	43	16	0.37	YnnYnnnYnY	1	1	0.38	no
MAHA / Make America Healthy Again	maha|make america healthy again	10	2	0.2	nnYnnnnnnY	1	1	0.34	no
Hormuz	hormuz	35	13	0.37	YYnnYYnYnn	1	0	0.29	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	360	38	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	no