# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-08 · 31 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY08 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:01:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-08 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at the Rose Garden , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	92	64	0.7	YnYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.65	hist	no
Olympics / Olympic	olympic	36	21	0.58	nYnYYYYYYY	1	0	0.6	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	137	90	0.66	YYYYnnYYYY	1	1	0.59	hist	no
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	68	44	0.65	YnYYYYYYYY	1	0	0.59	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	133	91	0.68	nYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	28	19	0.68	nYYYnYYYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	167	108	0.65	YYnYnnYYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	97	54	0.56	YYYYnnnYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Biden	biden	240	164	0.68	YnnYnYYYYn	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
China	china	153	96	0.63	YnnYnYYYYn	1	1	0.51	hist	no
Iran	iran	98	63	0.64	nnYnnYnYYY	1	1	0.49	hist	no
UFO / UAP	uap|ufo	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	0	0.47	hist	no
World War	world war	9	5	0.56	nYnnnYYYY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	33	21	0.64	nYYnYnYnYn	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	216	115	0.53	nnYnYYYYYY	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	56	31	0.55	YYYYYYnnnn	1	1	0.42	hist	no
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation	negotiate|negotiated|negotiation	13	9	0.69	YnYYYnYYnY	1	0	0.41	hist	no
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	71	47	0.66	YnnYnnnYnY	1	0	0.39	hist	no
NATO	nato	69	35	0.51	YYYYYnnnYn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Virginia	virginia	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.38	hist	no
World Cup	world cup	19	9	0.47	YnYYnnnnYn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Blockade	blockade	10	4	0.4	nnYYnYnnYn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Peace	peace	38	19	0.5	nnnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.32	hist	no
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	29	10	0.34	nnYYnYYYYn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Immigrant	immigrant	0	0			1	1	0.31	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	34	13	0.38	YYYnnYYnYn	1	0	0.3	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	65	24	0.37	nnYnnnnnnn	1	1	0.3	hist	no
Cuba	cuba	18	6	0.33	YYnnnYnnYn	1	0	0.3	hist	no
Pope	pope	10	2	0.2	nnYnnnYnnn	1	0	0.3	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	45	12	0.27	nnnnYYnnYn	1	0	0.27	hist	no
Hantavirus / Virus	hantavirus|virus	0	0			1	0	0.4	prior	no