# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-05 · 34 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY05 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:01:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-05 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of The President signs a Proclamation , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
250	250	19	13	0.68	YYYYYnYYnY	1	1	0.68	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	166	108	0.65	YYYnYnnYYY	1	1	0.58	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	131	90	0.69	YnnYYYYYYY	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	135	88	0.65	YYYYYYnnYY	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Biden	biden	238	163	0.68	nnYnnYnYYY	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	96	53	0.55	nYYYYnnnYY	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Moon	moon	8	4	0.5	nnYnYnYY	1	1	0.53	hist	no
TrumpRX	trumprx	7	4	0.57	YnnYYYn	1	0	0.52	hist	no
Oil	oil	70	38	0.54	YYYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
China	china	150	94	0.63	YnnYnnYnYY	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	110	62	0.56	YnnnnYnYYn	1	1	0.48	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	17	9	0.53	nnYYYYnnYY	1	1	0.48	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	26	14	0.54	YYnnYnnYYn	1	1	0.47	hist	no
Gaza / Palestine	gaza|palestine	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	31	20	0.65	YYnYYnYnYn	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Eight War	eight war	72	40	0.56	nYYYnnYnYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	214	113	0.53	YnnnYnYYYY	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Antisemitism / Antisemitic	antisemitic|antisemitism	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	1	0.43	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	28	10	0.36	YnnnYnnYnn	1	0	0.39	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	139	55	0.4	nnnnYYYnnY	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Embargo	embargo	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Autopen	autopen	37	17	0.46	YnYYYnnnnn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	0	0			1	0	0.36	hist	no
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	28	10	0.36	nnnYYnYYYY	1	0	0.35	hist	no
World Cup	world cup	17	8	0.47	nYYnYYnnnn	1	0	0.34	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.34	hist	yes
American Dream	american dream	12	5	0.42	YYYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.3	hist	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	44	12	0.27	YnnnnYYnnY	1	0	0.29	hist	no
Hamas / Hezbollah	hama|hezbollah	8	1	0.12	Ynnnnnnn	1	1	0.29	hist	no
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	21	8	0.38	YYYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.28	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	60	19	0.32	nYnnYYnnYY	1	0	0.28	hist	no
MAHA / Make America Healthy Again	maha|make america healthy again	9	1	0.11	nnYnnnnnn	1	1	0.25	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	356	38	0.11	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	hist	no
Shabbat / Sabbath	sabbath|shabbat	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no