# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-01 · 66 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY01C · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-at-the-villages · as_of 2026-10-24T03:47:42Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-01 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY01C ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks at The Villages , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-at-the-villages (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during events at The Villages scheduled for May 1, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 66 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	K	9	7	0.78	YYnnYYYYY	1	1	0.66	hist	yes
250	250	1	K	18	12	0.67	nYYYYYnYYn	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	K	57	35	0.61	YYYYnYYYYn	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	K	40	26	0.65	nnYnYYnYnY	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Landslide	landslide	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	1	0	0.58	hist	yes
Venezuela	venezuela	1	KP	25	17	0.68	YYnYYYYYYY	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Melania / First Lady	first lady|melania	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.58	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	KP	163	105	0.64	nnnYYYnYnn	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	128	87	0.68	YYYYnnYYYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Social Security	social security	1	KP	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	133	86	0.65	nnYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	235	160	0.68	YYYnnYnnYn	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Mar-a-Lago	mar a lago	1	P	4	4	1	YYYY	1	0	0.53	hist	no
Nuclear 3+ times	nuclear#3	3	P	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	1	1	0.53	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	P	65	41	0.63	nYYYnYYYYY	1	0	0.53	hist	yes
Dell	dell	1	K	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	K	95	52	0.55	YnYYYYnnnY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Stock market / 401(k)	401 k|stock market	1	P	0	0			1	1	0.5	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	P	105	59	0.56	nnnYYYnnnn	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	K	69	37	0.54	YYYYYYYYnY	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Golf / Golfer / Golfing	golf|golfer|golfing	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	1	1	0.48	hist	no
China	china	1	P	147	92	0.63	nnnYnnYnnY	1	1	0.48	hist	no
Soleimani	soleimani	1	P	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	1	1	0.47	hist	no
Power / Electricity	electricity|power	1	K	0	0			1	1	0.47	hist	yes
DoorDash / McDonald's	doordash|mcdonald	1	P	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Gulf of America	gulf of america	1	K	19	12	0.63	nnnYYYYYYn	1	1	0.45	hist	no
TrumpRX	trumprx	1	K	4	2	0.5	YnnY	1	0	0.45	hist	yes
Waiter / Waitress	waiter|waitress	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.44	hist	no
Israel	israel	1	K	55	30	0.55	nnYnYYnYYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Cookie / Potato	cookie|potato	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.44	hist	no
Grocery	grocery	1	K	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterated|obliteration	1	P	15	8	0.53	YnnYYnYYYn	1	1	0.43	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	210	109	0.52	YYnnYnnnYn	1	1	0.42	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	23	12	0.52	nYYYYnnYnn	1	1	0.42	hist	yes