# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-03-19 · 27 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR19 · as_of 2026-10-24T05:10:37Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-19 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAR19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	12	9	0.75	YnYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.66	yes
Trillion	trillion	81	55	0.68	nYYnnnnYnn	1	1	0.64	no
Tariff	tariff	145	97	0.67	YnYYYnYYnn	1	1	0.63	no
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	10	6	0.6	nYnYnnYYYY	1	1	0.63	yes
Save Act / Save America Act	save act|save america act	10	7	0.7	YYnYYYYnYn	1	0	0.6	no
Democrat	democrat	106	72	0.68	YYnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.59	yes
Trump	trump	44	25	0.57	nYYnYYYYYY	1	1	0.58	yes
Iran	iran	76	50	0.66	nYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.56	yes
Biden	biden	207	143	0.69	YnnYYYYYnn	1	1	0.55	yes
China	china	129	84	0.65	YYnYYnYYYY	1	1	0.55	yes
Shinzo / Abe	abe|shinzo	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.54	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	119	78	0.66	YYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.54	no
Election	election	75	45	0.6	YYYnYYnnYY	1	1	0.54	yes
NATO	nato	50	26	0.52	YYYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.53	yes
Transgender	transgender	82	46	0.56	YYnnYYYYYn	1	1	0.51	no
Oil	oil	49	23	0.47	YYYnnYYYYn	1	1	0.5	yes
Invested / Investment	invested|investment	24	13	0.54	YYnYnYnYnn	1	1	0.48	no
Hottest	hottest	173	92	0.53	YnYnnYnnnn	1	1	0.47	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	114	49	0.43	YnnnnnnYYn	1	1	0.43	no
Toyota	toyota	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.36	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	18	5	0.28	nnnYnYnnnn	1	0	0.36	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	60	24	0.4	nYYnnnnYnn	1	1	0.31	no
Taiwan	taiwan	11	2	0.18	YnnnnYnnnn	1	0	0.31	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	72	24	0.33	nnnnnnYYYn	1	1	0.29	no
Hormuz	hormuz	14	3	0.21	nYnnnYYnnn	1	0	0.26	no
Mog / Mogged / Mogging	mog|mogged|mogging	12	0	0	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.13	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	310	30	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.04	no