# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · podcast_episode 2026-01-24 · 15 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN24 · as_of 2026-10-24T20:54:33Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-24 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 podcast episode transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN24 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of video address to the March for Life, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	159	118	0.74	nnnnYYYnYY	1	1	0.66	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	68	46	0.68	nYYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.62	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	125	73	0.58	YYnYYYYYnY	1	1	0.57	hist	no
Greenland	greenland	28	13	0.46	YYnnYYYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	no
Faith	faith	4	3	0.75	YnYY	1	0	0.49	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	55	26	0.47	nnnnnnYYYn	1	1	0.48	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	18	8	0.44	nYYYnnnnnn	1	1	0.45	hist	no
IVF	ivf	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.45	hist	no
Bible	bible	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.42	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	40	17	0.42	YnnYnnnYnn	1	1	0.4	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	16	4	0.25	YnYYnnnnnn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Adopt / Adoption	adopt|adoption	0	0			1	0	0.45	prior	yes
Family	family	0	0			1	1	0.45	prior	yes
Pro Life / Pro-Life	pro life	0	0			1	0	0.45	prior	yes
Unborn	unborn	0	0			1	0	0.45	prior	yes