# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2026-01-21 · 16 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN222 · as_of 2026-10-25T13:43:01Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-21 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26JAN222 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Katie Pavlich Tonight Part 2 interview, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p
Trillion	trillion	56	41	0.73	nYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.74
Eight War	eight war	36	23	0.64	YnYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.64
Tariff	tariff	109	75	0.69	nYYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.6
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	30	21	0.7	YYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.57
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	83	36	0.43	YYYnnYYYnn	1	1	0.5
Border	border	88	53	0.6	nYYnnnYYYY	1	1	0.48
Ukraine	ukraine	41	22	0.54	nnYnnnYYnn	1	1	0.45
Radical Left	radical left	39	17	0.44	YYnnYnnnYn	1	1	0.43
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	7	3	0.43	nnYYnYn	1	1	0.43
Home / Housing	home|housing	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	1	1	0.42
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	34	13	0.38	nnYnYnnnnn	1	1	0.4
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	16	8	0.5	YnnYYYnnnn	1	1	0.38
Credit	credit	4	1	0.25	nYnn	1	1	0.34
Supreme Court	supreme court	14	4	0.29	YnYnYYnnnn	1	1	0.32
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	34	12	0.35	nnnnnYnYnn	1	1	0.28
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	236	20	0.08	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.13