# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2026-02-20 · 31 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB20 · as_of 2026-10-24T03:47:42Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-20 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 rally transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Remarks on the Economy, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	46	33	0.72	nYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.73	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	83	56	0.67	YnYnnYYnYY	1	1	0.67	hist	yes
No No No	no no no	3	3	1	YYY	1	0	0.65	hist	yes
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Iran	iran	45	28	0.62	YYYYnnnYnn	1	1	0.58	hist	no
Marjorie Traitor Greene	marjorie traitor greene	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.56	hist	no
401K	401k	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	21	12	0.57	YYYYYnYnYn	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	65	34	0.52	nYYnYYYYYn	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
November 5	november 5	6	3	0.5	YnYnnY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	44	18	0.41	nnnYnnnnYn	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	47	27	0.57	nnnnnYnnnn	1	0	0.49	hist	no
Venezuela / Maduro	maduro|venezuela	10	4	0.4	YnnnnYnYnY	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
America First	america first	22	10	0.45	nnYnnnYnYY	1	0	0.48	hist	yes
Obliterate / Obliterated	obliterate|obliterated	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.48	hist	no
RINO	rino	0	0			1	0	0.48	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	147	81	0.55	nnnYYYnYYY	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating	cheat|cheater|cheating	0	0			1	0	0.45	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	20	6	0.3	nnnnnnnYYn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Highest Inflation	highest inflation	9	3	0.33	YnYYnnnnn	1	1	0.42	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	27	9	0.33	nnYYnnnnnY	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Home / Housing	home|housing	14	4	0.29	YnnnnYnnnn	1	1	0.38	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	63	21	0.33	nnnYnnnnnn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	13	4	0.31	YnnYnnnnnn	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Golden Dome	golden dome	16	4	0.25	nnYnnnnnnn	1	0	0.34	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	75	17	0.23	nnnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.34	hist	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	6	0	0	nnnnnn	1	0	0.32	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	275	26	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.17	hist	no
ID / Identification	id|identification	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	yes
Judy Shelton	judy shelton	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	no
Lieutenant	lieutenant	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	yes