# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-02-19 · 35 words in 36 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB19 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-board-of-peace-events · as_of 2026-10-24T18:36:21Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-02-19 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26FEB19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Black History Month Reception, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-board-of-peace-events (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the events on February 19, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 36 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	K	180	128	0.71	YnnnnYYYYY	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	82	55	0.67	YYnYnnYYnY	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	36	21	0.58	YYYYYYYnYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Eight war / 8th war	8th war|eight war	1	P	0	0			1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Obama	obama	1	K	14	8	0.57	nYYYYnnnYY	1	0	0.55	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	P	146	80	0.55	YnnnYYYnYY	1	1	0.55	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	P	126	86	0.68	YYYnnYYYYn	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
HAMAS	hama	1	P	26	16	0.62	nYYYnYYYYY	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	67	40	0.6	YnYnYnYnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	K	146	80	0.55	YnnnYYYnYY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Please / Thank 20+ times	please|thank#20	20	P	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.46	hist	yes
Tiger / Woods	tiger|wood	1	K	0	0			1	0	0.46	hist	no
Japan	japan	1	K	9	6	0.67	YYnnYYYnY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	K	19	6	0.32	YnnnnnnnYY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Africa	africa	1	K	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.44	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	P	47	23	0.49	nnYYYYYYnn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Turkey / Orban	orban|turkey	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.43	hist	yes
Peace / War 15+ times	peace|war#15	15	P	0	0			1	1	0.42	hist	yes
Indonesia	indonesia	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.41	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	P	106	65	0.61	nnnnnnnnnY	1	1	0.41	hist	yes
United Nation	united nation	1	P	0	0			1	1	0.41	hist	yes
Palestine / Palestinian	palestine|palestinian	1	P	4	2	0.5	YYnn	1	0	0.37	hist	yes
Iran / Israel / Gaza 10+ times	gaza|iran|israel#10	10	P	0	0			1	1	0.37	hist	yes
Disaster	disaster	1	K	24	10	0.42	YnnYnnnYnn	1	1	0.34	hist	no
Hell	hell	1	P	27	10	0.37	nYYYnnnnnn	1	1	0.32	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	K	56	23	0.41	nnYYnYYnnn	1	1	0.3	hist	no
Accord	accord	1	P	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.27	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	1	K	26	8	0.31	nnnYYnnnnn	1	1	0.26	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	K	74	17	0.23	YnnnnnnYnn	1	0	0.22	hist	no
Bad Bunny	bad bunny	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	1	0	0.21	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	K	274	26	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.05	hist	no
Beautiful Black Woman / Beautiful Black Women	beautiful black woman|beautiful black women	1	K	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	no
Clarence / Thomas	clarence|thoma	1	K	0	0			1	0	0.42	prior	no