# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2026-04-30 · 21 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR30 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:23:42Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-30 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 interview transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Newsmax: The Record with Greta Van Susteren , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	127	86	0.68	nYYYYnnYYY	1	1	0.69	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	28	19	0.68	nYYYYnYYnY	1	1	0.67	hist	no
Oil	oil	68	36	0.53	YYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.64	hist	yes
Genius	genius	13	10	0.77	nYnnYYYYYY	1	1	0.63	hist	no
Biden	biden	234	160	0.68	nYYYnnYnnY	1	1	0.63	hist	no
Melania	melania	49	32	0.65	YYYnYnYnYY	1	0	0.63	hist	no
Stock Market 	stock market	65	35	0.54	YYYYnYnYnn	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Thug	thug	31	21	0.68	nYYYYYYnnY	1	0	0.56	hist	no
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	23	14	0.61	YYnYYYYnYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Hormuz	hormuz	33	13	0.39	nYYYnnYYnY	1	0	0.54	hist	no
King	king	16	9	0.56	YnnYnYnYYY	1	0	0.53	hist	no
Filibuster	filibuster	9	6	0.67	YYYYnYYnn	1	0	0.5	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	104	59	0.57	YnnnYYYnnn	1	1	0.47	hist	no
Blockade	blockade	8	3	0.38	nnYYnYnn	1	0	0.46	hist	yes
Despicable / Loser	despicable|loser	0	0			1	1	0.43	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	65	30	0.46	nYYnnYnYYn	1	1	0.39	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	134	52	0.39	nnnnYnnnnY	1	1	0.38	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	64	24	0.38	nnnYnnnnnn	1	1	0.37	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	56	16	0.29	nnYnnYnnYn	1	0	0.33	hist	yes
Save America Act	save america act	8	2	0.25	YYnnnnnn	1	0	0.31	hist	yes
Rating / Ratings / Rated	rated|rating	0	0			1	0	0.43	prior	yes