# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · other 2026-04-29 · 40 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR29C · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-astronaut-meeting · as_of 2026-10-25T03:52:46Z # scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-29 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets # rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR29C ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Greeting with Artemis II Astronauts , then the market resolves to Yes. # rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-astronaut-meeting (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the greeting with the Artemis II astronauts scheduled for April 29, 2026. w key thr v n y rate l10 tn th p p_src res Genius genius 1 KP 12 9 0.75 YnYnnYYYYY 1 1 0.62 hist yes Democrat democrat 1 K 126 85 0.67 YnYYYYnnYY 1 1 0.61 hist yes 250 250 1 K 17 12 0.71 nnYYYYYnYY 1 1 0.58 hist no Biden biden 1 KP 233 159 0.68 YnYYYnnYnn 1 1 0.58 hist yes Iran iran 1 K 94 59 0.63 YnYYnnYnnn 1 1 0.58 hist yes Russia russia 1 K 56 33 0.59 nYnYYnYYYY 1 1 0.54 hist no China china 1 K 146 91 0.62 YnnnYnnYnn 1 1 0.52 hist yes Jared / Isaacman isaacman|jared 1 K 0 0 1 0 0.51 hist yes Apollo apollo 1 KP 1 1 1 Y 1 0 0.49 hist no NASA nasa 1 K 1 1 1 Y 1 0 0.49 hist yes Rocket rocket 1 K 5 4 0.8 YnYYY 1 0 0.49 hist yes Oval Office oval office 1 K 4 3 0.75 YYYn 1 1 0.49 hist yes NATO nato 1 K 68 34 0.5 nYYYYYnnnn 1 1 0.49 hist yes Mars mar 1 K 8 2 0.25 nnnnnYnY 1 0 0.48 hist no Hottest hottest 1 KP 209 108 0.52 YYYnnYnnnn 1 1 0.47 hist yes Space Force space force 1 KP 14 6 0.43 YYYYYYnnnn 1 0 0.46 hist yes Elon / Musk elon|musk 1 KP 48 24 0.5 YYYnnnnYnn 1 1 0.45 hist no UFO / UAP uap|ufo 1 K 1 0 0 n 1 0 0.45 hist yes Baby baby 1 P 6 4 0.67 YnYYnY 1 1 0.43 hist no First Term first term 1 P 4 2 0.5 nYnY 1 1 0.43 hist yes Budget budget 1 K 3 0 0 nnn 1 1 0.43 hist no Proud proud 1 P 0 0 1 1 0.43 hist yes Alien alien 1 K 10 5 0.5 YYnnnnYYYn 1 1 0.42 hist no Any Question any question 1 P 2 1 0.5 Yn 1 0 0.4 hist yes Canada / Canadian canada|canadian 1 K 0 0 1 1 0.4 hist yes Canada / China 4+ times canada|china#4 4 P 0 0 1 1 0.4 hist no SpaceX spacex 1 K 3 0 0 nnn 1 0 0.39 hist no Fake News fake new 1 P 94 51 0.54 nYnYYYYnnn 1 1 0.35 hist yes AI / Artificial Intelligence ai|artificial intelligence 1 P 133 51 0.38 nnnnnYnnnn 1 1 0.33 hist yes Ballroom ballroom 1 K 55 15 0.27 nnnYnnYnnn 1 0 0.31 hist yes Houston houston 1 K 0 0 1 0 0.44 prior no ISS / International Space Station international space station|iss 1 K 0 0 1 0 0.44 prior no Moon Base moon base 1 K 0 0 1 0 0.44 prior no Bezos bezo 1 P 0 0 1 1 0.39 prior no Lunar lunar 1 P 0 0 1 0 0.39 prior no Mars 2+ times mar#2 2 P 0 0 1 0 0.39 prior no Moon 5+ times moon#5 5 P 0 0 1 0 0.39 prior no NASA 5+ times nasa#5 5 P 0 0 1 0 0.39 prior no Record record 1 P 0 0 1 1 0.39 prior no Zero zero 1 P 0 0 1 1 0.39 prior no