# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-28 · 20 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR28 · as_of 2026-10-24T00:25:30Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-28 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR28 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of remarks during the Greeting with His Majesty King Charles III of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and Her Majesty Queen Camilla , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
250	250	15	10	0.67	YnnnYYYYYn	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	161	105	0.65	YYnnnYYYnY	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Election	election	83	50	0.6	YYYYYYnnYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	93	51	0.55	nnYnYYYYnn	1	1	0.54	hist	no
Ukraine	ukraine	53	31	0.58	nnYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.53	hist	no
Iran	iran	92	59	0.64	nnYnYYnnYn	1	1	0.52	hist	no
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	54	34	0.63	nYnYnnnYnn	1	1	0.52	hist	no
China	china	145	91	0.63	YYnnnYnnYn	1	1	0.51	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	26	15	0.58	nYnYYYnnYn	1	1	0.48	hist	no
King	king	15	8	0.53	nYnnYnYnYY	1	0	0.46	hist	yes
Keir / Starmer	keir|starmer	7	2	0.29	nnYnYnn	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	207	108	0.52	YYYYYnnYnn	1	1	0.43	hist	no
NATO	nato	66	34	0.52	nnnYYYYYnn	1	1	0.43	hist	no
American Dream	american dream	8	5	0.62	YYYYYnnn	1	0	0.41	hist	no
Blockade	blockade	7	3	0.43	nnYYnYn	1	0	0.4	hist	no
Churchill	churchill	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Peace	peace	36	19	0.53	nYnnnnnnnn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	53	15	0.28	nnnnnYnnYn	1	0	0.31	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	348	37	0.11	nnnnnnYnnn	1	0	0.04	hist	no
Palace	palace	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no