# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-23 · 54 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR23 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-health-care-affordability-event · as_of 2026-10-24T03:45:01Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-23 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Health Care Affordability Event , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-the-health-care-affordability-event (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the healthcare affordability event scheduled for April 23, 2026.
# rows 1-34 of 54 by p · more: offset=34 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
New York	new york	1	P	34	24	0.71	YYYYnnYYYY	1	1	0.65	hist	yes
Iran (3+ times)	iran#3	3	K	8	6	0.75	YYnnYYYY	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	KP	160	104	0.65	nYYnnnYYYn	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	123	83	0.67	nnnYnYYYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Iran	iran	1	P	90	58	0.64	YYnnYnYYnn	1	1	0.55	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	K	230	158	0.69	YYnYnYYYnn	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	KP	130	85	0.65	YYnnnYYYYY	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Trump 3+ times	trump#3	3	P	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	K	101	58	0.57	nnYYnnnYYn	1	1	0.51	hist	no
China	china	1	K	143	90	0.63	YYYYnnnYnn	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
Autism	autism	1	P	16	9	0.56	YnYnYYYYnY	1	0	0.5	hist	no
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	1	K	4	3	0.75	YYYn	1	0	0.46	hist	yes
NATO	nato	1	K	64	34	0.53	nYnnnYYYYY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	K	24	14	0.58	nYnYnYYYnn	1	1	0.45	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	62	34	0.55	nYYYYYYnYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	K	203	107	0.53	nYnnYYYYYn	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	27	18	0.67	YnYYYYnYYn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	P	34	17	0.5	nYYnYnYYnY	1	1	0.43	hist	no
Autopen	autopen	1	K	35	17	0.49	YYYnYYYnnn	1	0	0.42	hist	no
FDA	fda	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.41	hist	yes
Kickback	kickback	1	K	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.41	hist	no
Unaffordable Care Act	unaffordable care act	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.41	hist	no
COVID / Pandemic	covid|pandemic	1	K	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.41	hist	no
Bobby / Kennedy	bobby|kennedy	1	KP	4	2	0.5	YYnn	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
Favored Nation	favored nation	1	K	7	3	0.43	YYnnYnn	1	1	0.39	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	1	K	30	12	0.4	nnnnnYnnnY	1	0	0.39	hist	no
Blockade	blockade	1	P	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	1	K	41	15	0.37	nnYnnYnnnY	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Cat	cat	1	P	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Ozempic / Fat Shot / Fat Drug	fat drug|fat shot|ozempic	1	K	0	0			1	0	0.39	hist	no
EU / European Union	eu|european union	1	P	8	4	0.5	nYYYnnYn	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Veteran	veteran	1	P	6	3	0.5	YYnYnn	1	0	0.38	hist	no
Insurance	insurance	1	KP	4	2	0.5	YYnn	1	1	0.38	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	K	24	9	0.38	YYYnYnnnYn	1	0	0.38	hist	no