# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · rally 2026-04-20 · 18 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR20 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:11:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-20 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 rally transcripts) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR20 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Telerally on April 20th , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	res
Democrat	democrat	120	81	0.68	YYYnnnYnYY	1	1	0.67	yes
Tax	tax	14	11	0.79	YYnYYYYYnY	1	1	0.62	yes
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	66	44	0.67	YYnYYnnYnn	1	0	0.62	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			1	1	0.62	no
Biden	biden	227	157	0.69	YYnYYnYnYY	1	1	0.6	yes
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating	cheat|cheater|cheating	4	3	0.75	YYYn	1	0	0.59	yes
Radical Left	radical left	63	29	0.46	nnnYYnnYnY	1	1	0.56	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	52	34	0.65	nYnYnYnnnY	1	1	0.55	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	23	14	0.61	YnYnYnYYYn	1	1	0.55	no
Stock Market	stock market	59	33	0.56	nnnnYYYYYY	1	1	0.55	no
Youngkin	youngkin	0	0			1	0	0.52	no
Hottest	hottest	200	105	0.53	YYYnYnnYYY	1	1	0.48	yes
Rigged Election	rigged election	2	0	0	nn	1	1	0.46	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	39	14	0.36	YnnnYnnYnn	1	1	0.45	no
Kamala	kamala	23	10	0.43	nnYYnnnYnn	1	1	0.44	no
Fraud	fraud	23	9	0.39	nYYYnYnnnY	1	0	0.4	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	84	30	0.36	YYYYnnnnnY	1	1	0.37	no
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	19	4	0.21	nnnnnnnnnY	1	1	0.33	no