# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-17 · 65 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR17B · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-arizona-tpusa-event-on-april-17 · as_of 2026-10-25T09:18:48Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-17 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR17B ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Turning Point USA: Build the Red Wall , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-arizona-tpusa-event-on-april-17 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Turning Point USA event scheduled for April 17, 2026.
# rows 1-31 of 65 by p · more: offset=31 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Sleepy Joe	sleepy joe	1	K	69	52	0.75	YYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.7	hist	yes
ID / Identification	id|identification	1	K	11	9	0.82	nnYYYYYYYY	1	0	0.63	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	1	K	87	59	0.68	nYnnnYnYYY	1	1	0.63	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	K	55	34	0.62	nYYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	1	K	26	18	0.69	nYnYYYnYYY	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	157	102	0.65	nYYnYYnnnY	1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	1	K	4	4	1	YYYY	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Drill Baby Drill	drill baby drill	1	K	62	38	0.61	YYnnYYYnYY	1	0	0.53	hist	yes
Landslide	landslide	1	K	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.52	hist	yes
Venezuela	venezuela	1	KP	23	15	0.65	nYYYnYYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	K	88	48	0.55	YnnnYnnYnY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	KP	98	56	0.57	YYYnnYYnnn	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Make America Great Again	make america great again	1	P	7	4	0.57	nnnYYYY	1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Moon / Astronaut	astronaut|moon	1	P	0	0			1	1	0.51	hist	yes
New York / Mamdani	mamdani|new york	1	K	0	0			1	1	0.51	hist	yes
Beautiful 3+ times	beautiful#3	3	P	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	K	51	33	0.65	nnYnYnYnnn	1	1	0.49	hist	yes
Midterm	midterm	1	K	7	4	0.57	nYYnnYY	1	0	0.49	hist	yes
Windmill	windmill	1	K	32	18	0.56	YYYYnnnnYn	1	1	0.49	hist	no
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	1	K	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.48	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	K	65	34	0.52	YnnYYYYYYY	1	1	0.48	hist	yes
Common sense	common sense	1	P	4	2	0.5	nnYY	1	1	0.48	hist	no
Gulf of America	gulf of america	1	K	15	9	0.6	YYnnnnnYYY	1	1	0.47	hist	no
American Dream	american dream	1	KP	7	5	0.71	YYYYYnn	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Central Casting	central casting	1	K	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times	billion|million|trillion#30	30	P	6	4	0.67	YYnnYY	1	1	0.45	hist	no
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	1	K	64	43	0.67	YnYYnYYnnn	1	0	0.44	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	KP	198	103	0.52	nYYYYnYnnY	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Epic Fury	epic fury	1	K	33	15	0.45	nYnYYnYYnY	1	0	0.44	hist	no
McDonald / McDonald's	mcdonald	1	K	31	17	0.55	nnnnnnnnnY	1	0	0.43	hist	no
Pope / Jesus	jesus|pope	1	K	0	0			1	0	0.43	hist	no