# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-04-16 · 60 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR16 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-no-tax-on-tips-roundtable · as_of 2026-10-24T07:28:48Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-04-16 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26APR16 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Roundtable on No Tax on Tips , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-no-tax-on-tips-roundtable (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Tax Day Roundtable scheduled for April 16, 2026.
# rows 1-32 of 60 by p · more: offset=32 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trillion	trillion	1	K	86	58	0.67	nnYnnnYnYY	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	156	101	0.65	nnYYnYYnnn	1	1	0.58	hist	yes
Newscum	newscum	1	K	50	31	0.62	YnnYYYYnYY	1	0	0.58	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	119	80	0.67	nYYYnnnYnY	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	K	39	25	0.64	nnnYnYYnYn	1	1	0.57	hist	yes
Election	election	1	P	80	49	0.61	YnnYYYYYYn	1	1	0.57	hist	no
Mental Institution	mental institution	1	K	24	18	0.75	YnnYYnnYYn	1	1	0.56	hist	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	1	K	25	17	0.68	YnYnYYYnYY	1	1	0.56	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	KP	226	156	0.69	nYYnYYnYnY	1	1	0.54	hist	yes
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	1	K	20	13	0.65	YnnYYnYYYY	1	1	0.54	hist	no
American Dream	american dream	1	K	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	1	0	0.53	hist	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	128	83	0.65	YnYYnnnYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	142	90	0.63	nYYYYnnnYn	1	1	0.51	hist	no
Fake News	fake new	1	KP	87	47	0.54	YYnnnYnnYn	1	1	0.5	hist	yes
Dow / S&P	dow|s&p	1	P	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.49	hist	yes
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	1	K	63	43	0.68	YYnYYnYYnn	1	0	0.49	hist	no
Russia	russia	1	P	55	32	0.58	YnYnYYnYYY	1	1	0.48	hist	yes
Child / Childhood	child|childhood	1	P	0	0			1	1	0.48	hist	yes
Social Security	social security	1	K	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.47	hist	yes
Eight War	eight war	1	K	71	40	0.56	nnYYYnnYnY	1	1	0.46	hist	no
Farmer	farmer	1	KP	15	8	0.53	nnnYYYnnYY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Oil	oil	1	K	64	33	0.52	YYnnYYYYYY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement	endorse|endorsed|endorsement	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.46	hist	no
Trump Account	trump account	1	KP	0	0			1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	K	23	16	0.7	YnYYYnYYYY	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 15+ times	billion|million|trillion#15	15	P	10	7	0.7	nYnYYYYYYn	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Stock Market	stock market	1	K	58	32	0.55	nnnnnYYYYY	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Favored Nation	favored nation	1	P	6	3	0.5	YYnnYn	1	1	0.44	hist	no
Air force	air force	1	P	0	0			1	0	0.44	hist	no
Made in America	made in america	1	P	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.43	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	1	KP	197	102	0.52	nnYYYYnYnn	1	1	0.43	hist	yes
Waiter / Waitress	waiter|waitress	1	K	0	0			1	0	0.43	hist	yes