# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-09-21 · 40 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25SEP21 · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-charlie-kirk-memorial-event-on-september-21 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:56:24Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-21 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25SEP21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Charlie Kirk Memorial at State Farm Stadium on September 21st, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-charlie-kirk-memorial-event-on-september-21 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Hottest country	hottest country	1	P	5	4	0.8	YnYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	9	7	0.78	YYYYnYnYY	0.56	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	3	3	1	YYY	0.53	hist	yes
Biden 3+ times	biden#3	3	P	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	0.53	hist	no
TikTok	tiktok	1	KP	13	5	0.38	YnnnnnnnYY	0.52	hist	no
Antifa	antifa	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
Republican	republican	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
MAGA / Make America Great Again	maga|make america great again	1	P	20	15	0.75	YYYnnYYnYY	0.5	hist	yes
America / American 20+ times	america|american#20	20	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.5	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.49	hist	no
Youth	youth	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	yes
Border	border	1	P	27	17	0.63	YYnYnYYnYn	0.45	hist	yes
College / Campus	campus|college	1	K	0	0			0.45	hist	yes
FBI	fbi	1	KP	2	2	1	YY	0.4	hist	no
Debate	debate	1	K	6	4	0.67	YYYnYn	0.4	hist	yes
Death penalty	death penalty	1	P	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	hist	no
Crazy	crazy	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.39	hist	no
Turning Point	turning point	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.39	hist	yes
Hell 5+ times	hell#5	5	P	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.39	hist	no
Faith	faith	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	KP	22	11	0.5	nnYYYYnYnn	0.37	hist	no
Roof	roof	1	KP	2	0	0	nn	0.36	hist	no
Butler	butler	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Free Speech	free speech	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Heaven	heaven	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	KP	21	10	0.48	nnnYYYnnnn	0.34	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
God	god	1	K	6	2	0.33	YYnnnn	0.29	hist	yes
Bitcoin / Crypto	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	123	5	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.05	hist	no
Assassinated	assassinated	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Beautiful wife / Wonderful wife	beautiful wife|wonderful wife	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Charlie / Kirk 15+ times	charlie|kirk#15	15	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Constitution	constitution	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Horrific	horrific	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Political Violence	political violence	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
President	president	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Radical left 3+ times	radical left#3	3	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Student	student	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Terrible / Horrible 10+ times	horrible|terrible#10	10	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Unite	unite	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes