# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2025-09-18 · 48 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25SEP18-2 · P p:what-will-trump-during-the-fox-news-interview-on-september-18 · as_of 2026-10-24T00:32:30Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-18 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25SEP18-2 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} during his Interview on The Story with Martha Maccallum on September 18th, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-during-the-fox-news-interview-on-september-18 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events.
# rows 1-39 of 48 by p · more: offset=39 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	K	52	42	0.81	YYnYYYYYnY	0.73	hist	yes
China	china	1	K	34	29	0.85	YYYYnnYYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	KP	29	23	0.79	YYYYYnnYYn	0.58	hist	yes
DC / Capital	capital|dc	1	K	0	0			0.57	hist	yes
Putin	putin	1	K	31	23	0.74	YnnYnYYYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	28	19	0.68	nYYnYnnYYY	0.55	hist	no
National Guard	national guard	1	K	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.53	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	6	5	0.83	YYnYYY	0.52	hist	no
Biden 3+ times	biden#3	3	P	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.52	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.51	hist	yes
Stupid	stupid	1	P	5	3	0.6	nYnYY	0.5	hist	no
RICO	rico	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Women's sports	women's sport	1	P	13	11	0.85	YYYYYYYnYY	0.47	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	K	22	9	0.41	nYnnYYYYYn	0.47	hist	yes
New York	new york	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.45	hist	no
Trade / Deal	deal|trade	1	K	0	0			0.45	hist	yes
China 5+ times	china#5	5	P	17	13	0.76	YYnYYYnYnY	0.44	hist	yes
Crime	crime	1	K	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.44	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	1	K	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.44	hist	yes
TikTok	tiktok	1	KP	12	4	0.33	YYnnnnnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
Transgender	transgender	1	K	21	11	0.52	nnnYYYYnYn	0.43	hist	no
Kash / Patel	kash|patel	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.42	hist	no
Chicago	chicago	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
Queen	queen	1	K	0	0			0.42	hist	yes
Hamas	hama	1	K	11	5	0.45	YnnYnnYnYn	0.41	hist	no
Gaza / Israel	gaza|israel	1	K	5	2	0.4	nnYnY	0.41	hist	no
Israel / Gaza / Hamas 7+ times	gaza|hama|israel#7	7	P	0	0			0.41	hist	no
President Xi / Xi	president xi|xi	1	K	0	0			0.41	hist	yes
Country was dead / Dead country	country was dead|dead country	1	P	0	0			0.4	hist	no
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	P	11	5	0.45	YnYYnnYYnn	0.39	hist	yes
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	1	K	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.37	hist	yes
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Keir / Starmer	keir|starmer	1	K	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Powell / Too Late	powell|too late	1	K	0	0			0.36	hist	no
Oil	oil	1	K	11	2	0.18	nnnnnYnnnn	0.35	hist	yes
Sanction	sanction	1	K	14	2	0.14	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.29	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	P	121	5	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Buckingham / Windsor	buckingham|windsor	1	K	0	0			0.41	prior	no