# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-09-17 · 42 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25SEP17 · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-the-uk-state-banquet-on-september-17 · as_of 2026-10-27T01:39:28Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-09-17 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25SEP17 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of President Trump delivers remarks at the UK State Banquet at Windsor Castle on September 17th, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-the-uk-state-banquet-on-september-17 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Peace	peace	1	P	13	9	0.69	YYnYYYnnYY	0.56	hist	no
Beautiful	beautiful	1	K	7	5	0.71	nnYYYYY	0.55	hist	yes
Trade	trade	1	K	10	6	0.6	nYYYYYYnnn	0.51	hist	no
Hottest country	hottest country	1	P	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Charlie / Kirk	charlie|kirk	1	KP	0	0			0.45	hist	no
Freedom	freedom	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.44	hist	no
D-Day / Normandy	d day|normandy	1	K	0	0			0.42	hist	no
Historic	historic	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	no
Legacy	legacy	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	no
Winston / Churchill	churchill|winston	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.41	hist	yes
Rule of Law	rule of law	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.4	hist	no
Churchill	churchill	1	K	0	0			0.4	hist	yes
Democracy / Democratic	democracy|democratic	1	K	0	0			0.39	hist	no
World War	world war	1	K	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.38	hist	no
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	1	P	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.37	hist	no
Security	security	1	P	8	2	0.25	nnnnYnnY	0.37	hist	no
Ally / Alliance	alliance|ally	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Ancestry / Heritage	ancestry|heritage	1	K	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
Defense / Security	defense|security	1	K	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Sovereignty	sovereignty	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
God	god	1	K	5	2	0.4	YYnnn	0.35	hist	no
God / Evil	evil|god	1	P	0	0			0.35	hist	no
Nazi / Hitler	hitler|nazi	1	P	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.3	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	KP	120	5	0.04	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Atlantic	atlantic	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Buckingham Palace	buckingham palace	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Camilla	camilla	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Carriage	carriage	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Commonwealth	commonwealth	1	KP	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Culture / Cultural	cultural|culture	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Free World	free world	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
King / Queen 4+ times	king|queen#4	4	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
London	london	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Partner / Partnership	partner|partnership	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Platinum Jubilee / 70	70|platinum jubilee	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Prince / Princess	prince|princess	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Queen Elizabeth	queen elizabeth	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Scotland	scotland	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Starmer	starmer	1	K	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Toast 2+ times	toast#2	2	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
United States 2+ times	united state#2	2	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no
War 3+ times	war#3	3	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no