# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-30 · 24 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT30 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:22:59Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-30 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Dinner hosted by the President of the Republic of Korea, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	85	69	0.81	YYYYnnnYYY	0.78	hist	no
China	china	50	42	0.84	YYYYYYYnYY	0.75	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	49	39	0.8	YYYYYYnnYY	0.75	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	6	5	0.83	YnYYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Election	election	23	17	0.74	YnYYYnnYYY	0.66	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	5	4	0.8	nYYYY	0.62	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	44	28	0.64	YnYnYnYYYY	0.61	hist	yes
Middle East	middle east	11	7	0.64	nYYYYYnnYY	0.61	hist	no
Border	border	49	33	0.67	YYnYYnnYYY	0.6	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	2	2	1	YY	0.57	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	50	33	0.66	YYYnnnYYYn	0.57	hist	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	6	3	0.5	nnYnYY	0.56	hist	no
Disaster	disaster	6	4	0.67	YYYYnn	0.5	hist	no
Hyundai	hyundai	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.44	hist	no
Communist	communist	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.44	hist	no
Putin	putin	52	32	0.62	nYYYnnnnYY	0.42	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	32	14	0.44	nnYnYYnnnn	0.42	hist	no
Investment	investment	16	7	0.44	nnnnYnnnYY	0.42	hist	yes
Kim / Jong Un	jong un|kim	2	1	0.5	nY	0.39	hist	yes
Water	water	15	5	0.33	nYYnnnnnnY	0.35	hist	no
Shipbuilding / Ship Building	ship building|shipbuilding	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
ICE	ice	14	3	0.21	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	157	11	0.07	YYYnnnnnnn	0.17	hist	no
Domestic	domestic	0	0			0.42	prior	no