# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · speech 2025-10-14 · 18 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT14B · as_of 2026-10-24T18:45:03Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-14 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT14B ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of speech at Middle East Peace Ceremony in Egypt on October 13th after 12:45pm ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Biden	biden	65	53	0.82	YYYYnYYYYn	0.78	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	37	26	0.7	YYnYYYnYYY	0.7	no
Hottest	hottest	21	14	0.67	nYYYYnYYYY	0.65	yes
Iran	iran	24	14	0.58	YYYnYYYYnY	0.62	yes
Military	military	1	1	1	Y	0.61	yes
Terrorist	terrorist	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.6	no
Heinous	heinous	0	0			0.59	no
Gaza	gaza	14	4	0.29	nnYnnnnnnY	0.58	yes
Putin	putin	40	27	0.68	YYYYnnnYnn	0.57	no
Ukraine	ukraine	21	12	0.57	YYnYnYnnnn	0.55	no
Negotiate	negotiate	1	0	0	n	0.55	no
World War	world war	6	2	0.33	nYnnnY	0.5	yes
Nobel Peace Prize	nobel peace prize	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.49	no
NATO	nato	30	14	0.47	YnYYYnnnYY	0.47	no
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.46	no
Golden Dome	golden dome	9	4	0.44	YYYnnnnnY	0.4	no
Palestine	palestine	9	1	0.11	nnnYnnnnn	0.27	no
Drone	drone	14	1	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.24	no