# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-07 · 44 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT07 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-carney-events-on-october-7 · as_of 2026-10-24T03:47:42Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-10-07 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT07 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney on October 7th, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-carney-events-on-october-7 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Prime Minister of Canada on October 7, 2025.
# rows 1-38 of 44 by p · more: offset=38 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	K	60	49	0.82	nYYYYYYYYn	0.8	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	K	34	26	0.76	nnYYnYYYnn	0.67	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	K	11	8	0.73	YnYYnYYYYY	0.62	hist	yes
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	4	4	1	YYYY	0.6	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	14	8	0.57	YYnnYnnnYY	0.59	hist	yes
Putin	putin	1	P	37	26	0.7	YYYYYYYnnn	0.58	hist	yes
Seven wars	seven war	1	P	3	3	1	YYY	0.57	hist	no
Border	border	1	K	30	20	0.67	YnYYnYnYYY	0.56	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	K	6	3	0.5	nnnYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times	billion|million|trillion#10	10	P	13	7	0.54	YYnnYYnnYY	0.51	hist	yes
Hell	hell	1	P	9	4	0.44	nnYYnnYnY	0.5	hist	yes
Steel	steel	1	K	8	6	0.75	YYYYnnYY	0.49	hist	yes
Ceasefire 3+ times	ceasefire#3	3	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.47	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	P	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.46	hist	no
Hamas	hama	1	K	16	8	0.5	nYnYnYnYYn	0.46	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	P	2	2	1	YY	0.45	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	K	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.45	hist	no
USMCA / United States–Mexico–Canada Agreement	united states mexico canada agreement|usmca	1	K	1	1	1	Y	0.44	hist	no
Drug	drug	1	K	5	3	0.6	nYYnY	0.44	hist	yes
Obama	obama	1	P	11	6	0.55	YnnnYYYYnn	0.44	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	1	P	25	13	0.52	YYYnYnnYnY	0.44	hist	yes
Chicago	chicago	1	K	6	2	0.33	YnnnnY	0.44	hist	yes
Farmer	farmer	1	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.43	hist	yes
Trudeau	trudeau	1	K	6	4	0.67	YnYYnY	0.42	hist	no
Joe / Biden 5+ times	biden|joe#5	5	P	11	7	0.64	YnYYYYnnnY	0.42	hist	no
Governor	governor	1	KP	5	3	0.6	YYnnY	0.41	hist	yes
Defense	defense	1	K	11	4	0.36	YnnnYnnnYY	0.41	hist	no
Water	water	1	K	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	0.37	hist	yes
51st state	51st state	1	P	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	no
Lumber	lumber	1	K	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.36	hist	no
51st / Fifty First	51st|fifty first	1	K	0	0			0.36	hist	no
Golden Dome	golden dome	1	P	8	3	0.38	YYYnnnnn	0.35	hist	yes
Car / Automobile	automobile|car	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	yes
NAFTA	nafta	1	K	14	4	0.29	nnYYnnnnnn	0.33	hist	no
Nobel	nobel	1	P	3	0	0	nnn	0.33	hist	no
Autopen	autopen	1	K	20	8	0.4	nnYYnnnnnn	0.32	hist	no
ICE	ice	1	K	8	3	0.38	YnnYYnnn	0.32	hist	no
Tariff 7+ times	tariff#7	7	P	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.32	hist	yes