# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-25 · 40 words in 41 rows (listings that settled differently) · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV25 · P p:what-will-trump-say-at-the-thanksgiving-turkey-pardon-on-tuesday-936 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:14:32Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-11-25 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Executive Order signing, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-at-the-thanksgiving-turkey-pardon-on-tuesday-936 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event.
# rows 1-36 of 41 by p · more: offset=36 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	1	K	111	86	0.77	YnnYYYnYYY	0.71	hist	no
Trillion	trillion	1	K	28	21	0.75	YYnnYYYYYY	0.69	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	P	69	52	0.75	nnnnYYYYnY	0.67	hist	no
China	china	1	K	71	54	0.76	nnnnYnYYYn	0.65	hist	no
Economy	economy	1	K	16	11	0.69	YnYYYYYnYY	0.56	hist	no
Nuclear / B-2	b 2|nuclear	1	P	0	0			0.55	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	1	P	22	14	0.64	nYnYnYnYYY	0.54	hist	yes
Election	election	1	K	40	25	0.62	nnnnYnYYYY	0.54	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	1	K	77	39	0.51	nnYYYYYnnn	0.52	hist	no
Israel	israel	1	K	45	25	0.56	nnYYYYYnnn	0.51	hist	no
Job 5+ times	job#5	5	P	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.48	hist	yes
Investment	investment	1	K	40	20	0.5	nnnnYYYYnn	0.48	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	K	12	7	0.58	nnYYnYYYnn	0.47	hist	no
Putin / Zelensky	putin|zelensky	1	P	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Recep Tayyip / Erdoğan	erdogan|recep tayyip	1	P	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	K	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.45	hist	no
Hell	hell	1	P	12	5	0.42	YYnnYnYYnn	0.45	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	1	K	13	5	0.38	YnnnYYYnnn	0.44	hist	no
Turkey	turkey	1	K	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.43	hist	no
Putin	putin	1	K	60	35	0.58	YYnnnYnYYn	0.42	hist	no
Affordability / Affordable	affordability|affordable	1	P	4	2	0.5	nYnY	0.42	hist	yes
Cartel	cartel	1	K	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	K	64	24	0.38	YYYnnYnnYY	0.42	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	1	K	24	12	0.5	YYnnnnnnYn	0.4	hist	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	K	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.38	hist	no
Inflation	inflation	1	K	19	9	0.47	YnnnYnYnYn	0.37	hist	no
Farmer	farmer	1	P	8	3	0.38	YnYYnnnn	0.37	hist	yes
Kennedy / Autism	autism|kennedy	1	P	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	yes
New York / Mayor	mayor|new york	1	K	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.33	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	1	P	19	6	0.32	nnnYnnnYnn	0.3	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	K	40	7	0.17	nYYYnnnnnn	0.29	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	1	KP	193	18	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.11	hist	no
Data Center	data center	1	K	0	0			0.41	prior	no
America / American 8+	america|american#8	8	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Gobble / Waddle 10+ times	gobble|waddle#10	10	P	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Honey	honey	1	P	0	0			0.39	prior	no