# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-11-19 · 25 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV19 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:12:31Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-19 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25NOV19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of bilateral meeting, signing and lunch events with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Biden	biden	106	82	0.77	YnYYYYnnYY	0.71	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	64	48	0.75	nYYYYnnnnY	0.7	hist	yes
Trillion	trillion	24	17	0.71	YYnYYYnnYY	0.65	hist	yes
China	china	67	51	0.76	YYnYnnnnYn	0.63	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	39	27	0.69	YYYnnYnYYY	0.61	hist	yes
Israel	israel	41	24	0.59	nYYYnnYYYY	0.58	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	61	37	0.61	nYYnYnnnYn	0.53	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	11	7	0.64	YnnYYnYYYn	0.52	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	70	35	0.5	YnnnnnnnnY	0.52	hist	yes
Election	election	36	21	0.58	YYnYnnnnYn	0.5	hist	yes
Abraham	abraham	5	3	0.6	YnYYn	0.49	hist	yes
Border	border	65	37	0.57	nYnnnnnnnn	0.48	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	33	17	0.52	nYYnYYYnnY	0.48	hist	yes
Hoax	hoax	9	4	0.44	YnnYnnnYY	0.47	hist	yes
Investment	investment	35	17	0.49	YYnnYnnnnY	0.46	hist	yes
Gas	gas	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Disaster	disaster	15	8	0.53	nnnnYYnYnY	0.42	hist	no
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	12	5	0.42	YnYnnnnYnn	0.42	hist	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	51	20	0.39	nnYnnnnnnY	0.38	hist	no
Radical Left	radical left	22	11	0.5	YnYYnnnnnn	0.37	hist	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	23	10	0.43	nnnnnnnYnn	0.33	hist	no
Stimulus	stimulus	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	31	4	0.13	nnnnnnnnnY	0.28	hist	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	187	18	0.1	nnnnnnnnnn	0.12	hist	no
Email	email	0	0			0.41	prior	no