# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · presser 2025-05-13 · 25 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25MAY13 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:06:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-05-13 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25MAY13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Trump says {word} as part of the Press Conference with the Secretary of Health and Human Services originally scheduled for 9:30 AM ET in the Roosevelt Room, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Tariff	tariff	13	12	0.92	YYYYYnYYYY	0.57	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	9	6	0.67	YYnnYnYYY	0.42	hist	yes
Chip	chip	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.4	hist	no
India	india	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.36	hist	yes
Fairness	fairness	1	1	1	Y	0.33	hist	yes
Pakistan	pakistan	2	1	0.5	nY	0.32	hist	yes
Taiwan	taiwan	2	1	0.5	nY	0.32	hist	no
Energy	energy	2	1	0.5	nY	0.31	hist	no
Israel	israel	24	14	0.58	nYnYnnnnnn	0.3	hist	no
Oil	oil	1	1	1	Y	0.29	hist	no
Sucker	sucker	1	0	0	n	0.26	hist	yes
Drug	drug	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	yes
Pharmaceutical	pharmaceutical	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	yes
Gaza	gaza	10	3	0.3	YnnYnnYnnn	0.24	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Houthis	houthis	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Laboratory	laboratory	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Manufacturer	manufacturer	0	0			0.28	prior	no
Medicare	medicare	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Prescription	prescription	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Pricing	pricing	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Reduction	reduction	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Saudi	saudi	0	0			0.28	prior	yes
Savings	saving	0	0			0.28	prior	no
UAE / United Arab Emirates	uae|united arab emirate	0	0			0.28	prior	yes